{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\Supplementary Statistical Analysis.JOP Referees Suggestions.01-09-2014.FINAL.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Jan 2014, 15:03:50
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
.  * OPEN "COLLECTIVE WISDOM" DATA SET
.   
.     use "D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\intertemporal retrospective economic voting.11-07-2013.postestimation.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}.   
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. **** ROBUSTNESS CHECK # 1 *****
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. 
. *** TABLE SI-10:    ESTIMATE STATISTICAL MODELS THAT ACCOUNT FOR CONDITIONAL ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY & REPUTATION DEPRECIATION BASED ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH EX-GOVERNORS' GOVERNED UNDER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT [GOVERNOR & LEGISLATIVE INSTITUTIONS]  ******* 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS CONDITIONAL REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE EX-GOVERNOR 'GOVERNED' UNDER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT IN OFFICE DURING THEIR TENURE AS GOVERNOR *****
. 
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * % Unified Party Government ****
. generate aigtenurepctunifiedtenure = personalincometenureann*pctunifiedtenure
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * % Unified Party Government ****
. generate eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure = eddurmonths2*pctunifiedtenure
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Election Delay * % Unified Party Government ****
. generate pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = pictenureann*pctunifiedtenure
{txt}
{com}. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedtenure pictenureann aigtenurepctunifiedtenure eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure pictenureannpctunifiedtenure lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33924168
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.2751633

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.902469{col 46}{space 2}  9.63349{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.686{col 74}{space 4}-15.21488{col 87}{space 3} 23.01982
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0045103{col 46}{space 2} .4065332{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.991{col 74}{space 4}-.8112622{col 87}{space 3} .8022415
{txt}{space 16}pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.80925{col 46}{space 2} 19.05646{col 57}{space 1}   -0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4}-55.62617{col 87}{space 3} 20.00766
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0666852{col 46}{space 2} .1899973{col 57}{space 1}   -0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.726{col 74}{space 4}-.4437287{col 87}{space 3} .3103583
{txt}{space 7}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.712036{col 46}{space 2}  9.90075{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.863{col 74}{space 4}-17.93568{col 87}{space 3} 21.35975
{txt}{space 4}eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1012232{col 46}{space 2} .4125234{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.807{col 74}{space 4}-.7174161{col 87}{space 3} .9198625
{txt}{space 4}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0361354{col 46}{space 2} .2172802{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-.3950501{col 87}{space 3} .4673209
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1479889{col 46}{space 2} .3332293{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.658{col 74}{space 4}-.5132938{col 87}{space 3} .8092716
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6343431{col 46}{space 2} .8329933{col 57}{space 1}    0.76{col 66}{space 3}0.448{col 74}{space 4}-1.018705{col 87}{space 3} 2.287391
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.83887{col 46}{space 2} 5.143447{col 57}{space 1}   -3.47{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-28.04587{col 87}{space 3}-7.631864
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.374508{col 46}{space 2} 4.670257{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.612{col 74}{space 4}-6.893464{col 87}{space 3} 11.64248
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4490183{col 46}{space 2} 15.88308{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.978{col 74}{space 4}-31.07044{col 87}{space 3} 31.96848
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6568597{col 46}{space 2} 5.086437{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.898{col 74}{space 4}-10.75073{col 87}{space 3} 9.437008
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.485909{col 46}{space 2} 4.161968{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.552{col 74}{space 4} -10.7452{col 87}{space 3} 5.773382
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .004027{col 46}{space 2} .2808943{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.989{col 74}{space 4}-.5533985{col 87}{space 3} .5614525
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3304234{col 46}{space 2} .2725557{col 57}{space 1}    1.21{col 66}{space 3}0.228{col 74}{space 4}-.2104546{col 87}{space 3} .8713014
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 59.17812{col 46}{space 2} 20.55351{col 57}{space 1}    2.88{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4} 18.39035{col 87}{space 3} 99.96588
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.961
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.031
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook10a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook10a if tenurefullresidsimrcook10a >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenu~10a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.522206 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.055956 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.515998 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.400066 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.410583 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   2.344446 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.595921 {txt}{c |}
107. {c |} {res}    86.6         69         0   1.069088 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   4.951594 {txt}{c |}
119. {c |} {res}    39.3          1         1    1.27504 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2  pctunifiedtenure  pictenureann aigtenurepctunifiedtenure eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure pictenureannpctunifiedtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook10a < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.41953807
{txt}Number of obs = {res}105
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1200772

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.462988{col 46}{space 2} 7.931616{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.757{col 74}{space 4}-13.29943{col 87}{space 3} 18.22541
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1299109{col 46}{space 2} .4007908{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.747{col 74}{space 4}-.9263984{col 87}{space 3} .6665767
{txt}{space 16}pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.03936{col 46}{space 2} 17.48269{col 57}{space 1}   -1.03{col 66}{space 3}0.305{col 74}{space 4}-52.78252{col 87}{space 3} 16.70381
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0095821{col 46}{space 2} .1787286{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.957{col 74}{space 4}-.3647677{col 87}{space 3} .3456034
{txt}{space 7}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.884656{col 46}{space 2} 8.211921{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.553{col 74}{space 4}-11.43481{col 87}{space 3} 21.20412
{txt}{space 4}eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2698141{col 46}{space 2} .4029975{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.505{col 74}{space 4}-.5310588{col 87}{space 3} 1.070687
{txt}{space 4}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0853629{col 46}{space 2} .2078754{col 57}{space 1}   -0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.682{col 74}{space 4}-.4984716{col 87}{space 3} .3277458
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0309815{col 46}{space 2}  .304015{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.919{col 74}{space 4}-.5731845{col 87}{space 3} .6351474
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6472063{col 46}{space 2} .8906562{col 57}{space 1}    0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.469{col 74}{space 4}-1.122786{col 87}{space 3} 2.417198
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.13429{col 46}{space 2} 4.786885{col 57}{space 1}   -4.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-29.64722{col 87}{space 3}-10.62136
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.298626{col 46}{space 2} 4.290152{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.763{col 74}{space 4}-7.227149{col 87}{space 3} 9.824402
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.307266{col 46}{space 2} 7.160866{col 57}{space 1}   -0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.461{col 74}{space 4}-19.53798{col 87}{space 3} 8.923451
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3290545{col 46}{space 2}  2.60701{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.900{col 74}{space 4}-5.509939{col 87}{space 3}  4.85183
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.611139{col 46}{space 2}  5.46982{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.168{col 74}{space 4}-18.48126{col 87}{space 3}  3.25898
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0588292{col 46}{space 2} .1823816{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.748{col 74}{space 4} -.303616{col 87}{space 3} .4212744
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3115311{col 46}{space 2} .1996664{col 57}{space 1}    1.56{col 66}{space 3}0.122{col 74}{space 4}-.0852639{col 87}{space 3}  .708326
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 74.91615{col 46}{space 2} 20.68169{col 57}{space 1}    3.62{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 33.81565{col 87}{space 3} 116.0167
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.775
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedtenure  pictenureann aigtenurepctunifiedtenure eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure pictenureannpctunifiedtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.3479285
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.9840467

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7785021{col 46}{space 2} 19.08424{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.968{col 74}{space 4} -38.6655{col 87}{space 3}  37.1085
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1657009{col 46}{space 2} .6015685{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.784{col 74}{space 4}-1.028563{col 87}{space 3} 1.359965
{txt}{space 16}pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-25.14245{col 46}{space 2} 44.32211{col 57}{space 1}   -0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.572{col 74}{space 4} -113.133{col 87}{space 3} 62.84805
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1325446{col 46}{space 2} .2684322{col 57}{space 1}   -0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.623{col 74}{space 4}-.6654499{col 87}{space 3} .4003606
{txt}{space 7}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.523997{col 46}{space 2} 19.59779{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.779{col 74}{space 4}-33.38254{col 87}{space 3} 44.43053
{txt}{space 4}eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0868856{col 46}{space 2} .5945488{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.884{col 74}{space 4}-1.267214{col 87}{space 3} 1.093443
{txt}{space 4}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1288022{col 46}{space 2} .2932904{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.662{col 74}{space 4}-.4534528{col 87}{space 3} .7110572
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1446485{col 46}{space 2} .5113534{col 57}{space 1}   -0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.778{col 74}{space 4}-1.159813{col 87}{space 3} .8705164
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.44269{col 46}{space 2} 1.196692{col 57}{space 1}    1.21{col 66}{space 3}0.231{col 74}{space 4}-.9330436{col 87}{space 3} 3.818423
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.36721{col 46}{space 2} 5.742133{col 57}{space 1}   -2.50{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4}-25.76679{col 87}{space 3}-2.967638
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.304657{col 46}{space 2} 4.667054{col 57}{space 1}    0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.359{col 74}{space 4}-4.960617{col 87}{space 3} 13.56993
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.003434{col 46}{space 2} 9.408782{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.832{col 74}{space 4}-20.68223{col 87}{space 3} 16.67536
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7897001{col 46}{space 2}  3.21505{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.807{col 74}{space 4}-5.592981{col 87}{space 3} 7.172381
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.508044{col 46}{space 2} 5.534909{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.528{col 74}{space 4} -7.48014{col 87}{space 3} 14.49623
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0248024{col 46}{space 2} .2621436{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.925{col 74}{space 4}-.4956185{col 87}{space 3} .5452232
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2140877{col 46}{space 2} .2206846{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.334{col 74}{space 4}-.2240266{col 87}{space 3}  .652202
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 46.90467{col 46}{space 2} 202.1177{col 57}{space 1}    0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-354.3498{col 87}{space 3} 448.1591
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.61487{col 46}{space 2} 69.82737{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.879{col 74}{space 4}-149.2397{col 87}{space 3}   128.01
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3835139{col 46}{space 2} 7.671504{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.960{col 74}{space 4}-14.84635{col 87}{space 3} 15.61337
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 24.07938{col 46}{space 2} 201.8173{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.905{col 74}{space 4}-376.5785{col 87}{space 3} 424.7373
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.698
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.008
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook10c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook10c if tenurefullresidsimrcook10c >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenu~10c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.791157 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.111017 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.743392 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.592295 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.020844 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedtenure  pictenureann aigtenurepctunifiedtenure eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure pictenureannpctunifiedtenure lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook10c < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.46719997
{txt}Number of obs = {res}110
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.0909911

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.735577{col 46}{space 2} 21.19907{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.935{col 74}{space 4}-40.38007{col 87}{space 3} 43.85122
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2674843{col 46}{space 2} .6645642{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.688{col 74}{space 4}-1.052788{col 87}{space 3} 1.587757
{txt}{space 16}pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.80263{col 46}{space 2} 48.68711{col 57}{space 1}   -0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.670{col 74}{space 4}-117.5281{col 87}{space 3} 75.92281
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1819667{col 46}{space 2} .3033392{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.550{col 74}{space 4}-.7846029{col 87}{space 3} .4206696
{txt}{space 7}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.334462{col 46}{space 2} 21.87848{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.879{col 74}{space 4}-40.13096{col 87}{space 3} 46.79988
{txt}{space 4}eddurmonths2pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1900217{col 46}{space 2} .6825689{col 57}{space 1}   -0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.781{col 74}{space 4}-1.546064{col 87}{space 3} 1.166021
{txt}{space 4}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1760127{col 46}{space 2} .3442555{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.610{col 74}{space 4}-.5079109{col 87}{space 3} .8599364
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4393873{col 46}{space 2} .7618365{col 57}{space 1}   -0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.566{col 74}{space 4}-1.952909{col 87}{space 3} 1.074134
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.87437{col 46}{space 2} 1.173799{col 57}{space 1}    1.60{col 66}{space 3}0.114{col 74}{space 4}-.4575861{col 87}{space 3} 4.206326
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.47116{col 46}{space 2} 5.820249{col 57}{space 1}   -2.31{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4}-25.03411{col 87}{space 3}-1.908223
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.294367{col 46}{space 2} 6.638037{col 57}{space 1}    0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.519{col 74}{space 4}-8.893253{col 87}{space 3} 17.48199
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.437874{col 46}{space 2} 8.128835{col 57}{space 1}   -0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.860{col 74}{space 4}-17.58722{col 87}{space 3} 14.71148
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7965275{col 46}{space 2}  2.91063{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-4.985947{col 87}{space 3} 6.579002
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.282394{col 46}{space 2} 5.317083{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.539{col 74}{space 4}-7.280918{col 87}{space 3} 13.84571
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0216031{col 46}{space 2} .2594985{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.934{col 74}{space 4} -.493936{col 87}{space 3} .5371422
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1679506{col 46}{space 2} .2175975{col 57}{space 1}    0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.442{col 74}{space 4}-.2643448{col 87}{space 3}  .600246
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 77.05649{col 46}{space 2} 229.9212{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.738{col 74}{space 4}-379.7221{col 87}{space 3}  533.835
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.24348{col 46}{space 2} 80.09042{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.801{col 74}{space 4}-179.3571{col 87}{space 3} 138.8701
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.311505{col 46}{space 2} 8.770087{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.881{col 74}{space 4} -16.1118{col 87}{space 3} 18.73481
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.987689{col 46}{space 2} 218.7702{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.975{col 74}{space 4}-427.6374{col 87}{space 3} 441.6128
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}12.165
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDTENURE = 0: NONE OF EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *****
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.55361{col 26}{space 2} 20.93609{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.941{col 54}{space 4}-40.03958{col 67}{space 3}  43.1468
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4480232{col 26}{space 2} 18.12674{col 37}{space 1}   -0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.980{col 54}{space 4}-36.45996{col 67}{space 3} 35.56391
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.631623{col 26}{space 2} 15.30547{col 37}{space 1}   -0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.864{col 54}{space 4}-33.03861{col 67}{space 3} 27.77537
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.815223{col 26}{space 2} 12.90102{col 37}{space 1}   -0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.710{col 54}{space 4}-30.44535{col 67}{space 3}  20.8149
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.998823{col 26}{space 2}  11.1855{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.533{col 54}{space 4}-29.22077{col 67}{space 3} 15.22312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.182423{col 26}{space 2} 10.50213{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.384{col 54}{space 4}-30.04673{col 67}{space 3} 11.68189
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-11.36602{col 26}{space 2} 11.04419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.306{col 54}{space 4}-33.30724{col 67}{space 3} 10.57519
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-13.54962{col 26}{space 2} 12.65519{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.287{col 54}{space 4}-38.69138{col 67}{space 3} 11.59213
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-15.73322{col 26}{space 2} 14.99446{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.297{col 54}{space 4}-45.52234{col 67}{space 3}  14.0559
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-17.91682{col 26}{space 2} 17.77679{col 37}{space 1}   -1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.316{col 54}{space 4}-53.23351{col 67}{space 3} 17.39986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-20.10042{col 26}{space 2} 20.82533{col 37}{space 1}   -0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.337{col 54}{space 4}-61.47358{col 67}{space 3} 21.27274
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-22.28402{col 26}{space 2} 24.03903{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.356{col 54}{space 4}-70.04176{col 67}{space 3} 25.47371
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-24.46762{col 26}{space 2} 27.35975{col 37}{space 1}   -0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.374{col 54}{space 4}-78.82255{col 67}{space 3}  29.8873
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDTENURE = 0.5: HALF OF EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *****
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*1*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + .5{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.308848{col 26}{space 2} 10.30335{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.749{col 54}{space 4}-17.16055{col 67}{space 3} 23.77824
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*12*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 6{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.275284{col 26}{space 2}  9.00706{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.801{col 54}{space 4}-15.61881{col 67}{space 3} 20.16938
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*24*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 12{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.147761{col 26}{space 2} 7.675318{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.881{col 54}{space 4} -14.1006{col 67}{space 3} 16.39612
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*36*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 18{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0202369{col 26}{space 2} 6.481204{col 37}{space 1}    0.00{col 46}{space 3}0.998{col 54}{space 4}-12.85581{col 67}{space 3} 12.89628
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*48*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 24{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.107287{col 26}{space 2} 5.514857{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.841{col 54}{space 4}-12.06351{col 67}{space 3}  9.84894
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*60*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 30{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.23481{col 26}{space 2} 4.912579{col 37}{space 1}   -0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.650{col 54}{space 4}-11.99451{col 67}{space 3} 7.524886
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*72*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 36{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.362334{col 26}{space 2} 4.813041{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.487{col 54}{space 4}-12.92428{col 67}{space 3} 6.199611
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*84*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 42{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.489858{col 26}{space 2} 5.244942{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.394{col 54}{space 4}-14.90985{col 67}{space 3} 5.930135
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*96*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 48{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.617382{col 26}{space 2} 6.096361{col 37}{space 1}   -0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.359{col 54}{space 4}-17.72887{col 67}{space 3} 6.494104
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*108*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 54{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.744905{col 26}{space 2} 7.220385{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.353{col 54}{space 4}-21.08946{col 67}{space 3} 7.599649
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*120*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 60{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.872429{col 26}{space 2} 8.509667{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.357{col 54}{space 4}-24.77837{col 67}{space 3} 9.033509
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*132*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 66{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.999953{col 26}{space 2} 9.899851{col 37}{space 1}   -0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.366{col 54}{space 4}-28.66773{col 67}{space 3} 10.66783
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*0.5 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*144*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann + .5{res}*{res}aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 72{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-10.12748{col 26}{space 2} 11.35393{col 37}{space 1}   -0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.375{col 54}{space 4}-32.68405{col 67}{space 3} 12.42909
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDTENURE = 1: ALL OF EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *****
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.064085{col 26}{space 2} 2.649217{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.059{col 54}{space 4}-.1990471{col 67}{space 3} 10.32722
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 12{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.998592{col 26}{space 2}  2.25091{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}  .526767{col 67}{space 3} 9.470417
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 24{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.927144{col 26}{space 2} 2.019305{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .9154434{col 67}{space 3} 8.938846
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 36{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.855697{col 26}{space 2} 2.068417{col 37}{space 1}    2.35{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .7464257{col 67}{space 3} 8.964968
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 48{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.78425{col 26}{space 2} 2.380938{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4} .0541002{col 67}{space 3} 9.514399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 60{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.712802{col 26}{space 2} 2.872133{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-.9931905{col 67}{space 3}  10.4188
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 72{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.641355{col 26}{space 2}  3.46687{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-2.246187{col 67}{space 3}  11.5289
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 84{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.569908{col 26}{space 2} 4.120556{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-3.616297{col 67}{space 3} 12.75611
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 96{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.49846{col 26}{space 2} 4.809215{col 37}{space 1}    0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.352{col 54}{space 4}-5.055884{col 67}{space 3}  14.0528
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 108{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.427013{col 26}{space 2} 5.519771{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.425{col 54}{space 4}-6.538975{col 67}{space 3}   15.393
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 120{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.355565{col 26}{space 2} 6.244754{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.487{col 54}{space 4}-8.050728{col 67}{space 3} 16.76186
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 132{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.284118{col 26}{space 2}  6.97967{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.541{col 54}{space 4}-9.582215{col 67}{space 3} 18.15045
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144 + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure*1 + pictenureannpctunifiedtenure*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenurepctunifiedtenure + 144{res}*{res}pictenureannpctunifiedtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.212671{col 26}{space 2} 7.721684{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.587{col 54}{space 4} -11.1278{col 67}{space 3} 19.55314
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS CONDITIONAL REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE EX-GOVERNOR 'GOVERNED' UNDER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT IN OFFICE DURING THEIR LAST/RECENT TERM AS GOVERNOR *****
. 
. 
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Term) * % Unified Party Government (Last/Recent Term)****
. generate aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm = personalincomerecenttermann*pctunifiedlastterm
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * % Unified Party Government (Last/Recent Term) ****
. generate eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm = eddurmonths2*pctunifiedlastterm
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Term) * Election Delay * % Unified Party Government (Last/Recent Term) ****
. generate picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = picrtermann*pctunifiedlastterm
{txt}
{com}. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10E: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedlastterm  picrtermann aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33415359
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.1714229

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9523834{col 46}{space 2} 4.383008{col 57}{space 1}   -0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.828{col 74}{space 4}-9.650319{col 87}{space 3} 7.745552
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2154896{col 46}{space 2} .1415704{col 57}{space 1}   -1.52{col 66}{space 3}0.131{col 74}{space 4}-.4964314{col 87}{space 3} .0654522
{txt}{space 14}pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-26.98053{col 46}{space 2} 11.64696{col 57}{space 1}   -2.32{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4}-50.09355{col 87}{space 3}-3.867502
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0194036{col 46}{space 2} .0478948{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.686{col 74}{space 4} -.075642{col 87}{space 3} .1144493
{txt}{space 6}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.671888{col 46}{space 2} 4.031691{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.101{col 74}{space 4}-1.328872{col 87}{space 3} 14.67265
{txt}{space 2}eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3457341{col 46}{space 2} .1340675{col 57}{space 1}    2.58{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} .0796814{col 87}{space 3} .6117867
{txt}{space 3}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0814465{col 46}{space 2} .0474975{col 57}{space 1}   -1.71{col 66}{space 3}0.090{col 74}{space 4}-.1757039{col 87}{space 3} .0128108
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1535032{col 46}{space 2} .3458824{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.658{col 74}{space 4}-.5328892{col 87}{space 3} .8398956
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5754608{col 46}{space 2} .7882306{col 57}{space 1}    0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.467{col 74}{space 4}-.9887572{col 87}{space 3} 2.139679
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.57925{col 46}{space 2} 5.435171{col 57}{space 1}   -3.60{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-30.36517{col 87}{space 3}-8.793325
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.974011{col 46}{space 2} 6.366626{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.350{col 74}{space 4}-6.660351{col 87}{space 3} 18.60837
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.81819{col 46}{space 2} 13.34774{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.420{col 74}{space 4}-37.30634{col 87}{space 3} 15.66996
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.320783{col 46}{space 2} 4.029463{col 57}{space 1}    0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.566{col 74}{space 4}-5.675555{col 87}{space 3} 10.31712
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.771921{col 46}{space 2} 4.583373{col 57}{space 1}   -1.26{col 66}{space 3}0.211{col 74}{space 4}-14.86748{col 87}{space 3} 3.323634
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .207817{col 46}{space 2} .2915462{col 57}{space 1}    0.71{col 66}{space 3}0.478{col 74}{space 4}-.3707469{col 87}{space 3} .7863808
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2081462{col 46}{space 2} .2116987{col 57}{space 1}    0.98{col 66}{space 3}0.328{col 74}{space 4}-.2119629{col 87}{space 3} .6282553
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 69.83508{col 46}{space 2} 21.86269{col 57}{space 1}    3.19{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 26.44927{col 87}{space 3} 113.2209
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.364
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.068
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook10e, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook10e if rtermfullresidsimrcook10e >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rter~10e {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.310946 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.633748 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.015569 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.638736 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.421411 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.309456 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.081734 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.706928 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   6.411846 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10F: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedlastterm picrtermann aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook10e < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.48146204
{txt}Number of obs = {res}106
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.8712048

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0455602{col 46}{space 2}  4.72544{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.992{col 74}{space 4}-9.343789{col 87}{space 3}  9.43491
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1818735{col 46}{space 2} .1392523{col 57}{space 1}   -1.31{col 66}{space 3}0.195{col 74}{space 4}-.4585648{col 87}{space 3} .0948177
{txt}{space 14}pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.04095{col 46}{space 2}  14.2574{col 57}{space 1}   -1.90{col 66}{space 3}0.061{col 74}{space 4}-55.37009{col 87}{space 3} 1.288197
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0187295{col 46}{space 2} .1127774{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-.2053568{col 87}{space 3} .2428158
{txt}{space 6}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.546526{col 46}{space 2} 4.786211{col 57}{space 1}    1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.175{col 74}{space 4}-2.963575{col 87}{space 3} 16.05663
{txt}{space 2}eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3451337{col 46}{space 2} .1573029{col 57}{space 1}    2.19{col 66}{space 3}0.031{col 74}{space 4} .0325762{col 87}{space 3} .6576913
{txt}{space 3}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0936879{col 46}{space 2}  .126287{col 57}{space 1}   -0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.460{col 74}{space 4}-.3446176{col 87}{space 3} .1572417
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1273615{col 46}{space 2} .3193939{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.691{col 74}{space 4}-.7619903{col 87}{space 3} .5072674
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6180973{col 46}{space 2} .6340028{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.332{col 74}{space 4}-.6416527{col 87}{space 3} 1.877847
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.32461{col 46}{space 2} 4.387257{col 57}{space 1}   -4.63{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-29.04199{col 87}{space 3}-11.60722
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.137348{col 46}{space 2} 5.598343{col 57}{space 1}    0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.462{col 74}{space 4}-6.986441{col 87}{space 3} 15.26114
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.38438{col 46}{space 2} 9.975624{col 57}{space 1}   -1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.257{col 74}{space 4}-31.20573{col 87}{space 3} 8.436969
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.918468{col 46}{space 2} 3.460081{col 57}{space 1}    0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.581{col 74}{space 4} -4.95664{col 87}{space 3} 8.793575
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.051429{col 46}{space 2} 3.813802{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}-14.62937{col 87}{space 3} .5265149
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1227674{col 46}{space 2} .3766859{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.745{col 74}{space 4}-.6256995{col 87}{space 3} .8712343
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3469798{col 46}{space 2}  .261225{col 57}{space 1}    1.33{col 66}{space 3}0.187{col 74}{space 4}-.1720687{col 87}{space 3} .8660282
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 88.39174{col 46}{space 2} 17.05488{col 57}{space 1}    5.18{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 54.50406{col 87}{space 3} 122.2794
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 7.389
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.025
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10G: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedlastterm picrtermann aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.32997971
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.0836728

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.11027{col 46}{space 2} 3.064507{col 57}{space 1}   -1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.313{col 74}{space 4}-9.194084{col 87}{space 3} 2.973545
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2286563{col 46}{space 2} .0816542{col 57}{space 1}   -2.80{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4}-.3907603{col 87}{space 3}-.0665523
{txt}{space 14}pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-31.45632{col 46}{space 2} 6.869982{col 57}{space 1}   -4.58{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-45.09496{col 87}{space 3}-17.81769
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0275411{col 46}{space 2} .0318764{col 57}{space 1}    0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.390{col 74}{space 4}-.0357415{col 87}{space 3} .0908238
{txt}{space 6}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  8.70222{col 46}{space 2} 2.419879{col 57}{space 1}    3.60{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 3.898153{col 87}{space 3} 13.50629
{txt}{space 2}eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .367809{col 46}{space 2} .0950231{col 57}{space 1}    3.87{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .1791643{col 87}{space 3} .5564536
{txt}{space 3}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.094955{col 46}{space 2} .0362143{col 57}{space 1}   -2.62{col 66}{space 3}0.010{col 74}{space 4}-.1668494{col 87}{space 3}-.0230606
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0892964{col 46}{space 2}  .378133{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.814{col 74}{space 4}-.6613925{col 87}{space 3} .8399853
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7832035{col 46}{space 2} .9398648{col 57}{space 1}    0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.407{col 74}{space 4}-1.082664{col 87}{space 3} 2.649071
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.86791{col 46}{space 2} 4.386761{col 57}{space 1}   -4.53{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-28.57673{col 87}{space 3}-11.15909
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.030362{col 46}{space 2} 5.477087{col 57}{space 1}    0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.464{col 74}{space 4} -6.84303{col 87}{space 3} 14.90375
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.868636{col 46}{space 2}  9.34674{col 57}{space 1}   -0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.345{col 74}{space 4}-27.42426{col 87}{space 3} 9.686988
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.941169{col 46}{space 2} 3.758784{col 57}{space 1}    0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.607{col 74}{space 4} -5.52096{col 87}{space 3} 9.403298
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -5.07637{col 46}{space 2}  5.56783{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.364{col 74}{space 4}-16.12991{col 87}{space 3} 5.977171
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1818557{col 46}{space 2} .2043115{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.376{col 74}{space 4}-.2237539{col 87}{space 3} .5874653
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1800994{col 46}{space 2} .2216954{col 57}{space 1}    0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.419{col 74}{space 4}-.2600217{col 87}{space 3} .6202206
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.467698{col 46}{space 2} 102.5017{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.965{col 74}{space 4}-207.9593{col 87}{space 3} 199.0239
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  3.57833{col 46}{space 2} 35.59186{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.920{col 74}{space 4}-67.08045{col 87}{space 3} 74.23711
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6606678{col 46}{space 2} 3.805062{col 57}{space 1}   -0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.863{col 74}{space 4}-8.214672{col 87}{space 3} 6.893336
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 79.05103{col 46}{space 2} 88.96136{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.376{col 74}{space 4}-97.55959{col 87}{space 3} 255.6617
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.823
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.033
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook10g, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook10g if rtermfullresidsimrcook10g >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rter~10g {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.213466 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.297476 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   2.072971 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.332155 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.112143 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   3.370045 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
119. {c |} {res}    39.3          1         1   1.752769 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10H: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 pctunifiedlastterm  picrtermann aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook10g < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.46651826
{txt}Number of obs = {res}108
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.0685347

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -2.09434{col 46}{space 2} 3.764824{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-9.576135{col 87}{space 3} 5.387456
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2155849{col 46}{space 2} .0839668{col 57}{space 1}   -2.57{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4}-.3824513{col 87}{space 3}-.0487186
{txt}{space 14}pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.63297{col 46}{space 2} 8.482504{col 57}{space 1}   -3.96{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-50.49016{col 87}{space 3}-16.77577
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0161983{col 46}{space 2} .0341211{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.636{col 74}{space 4}-.0516103{col 87}{space 3} .0840069
{txt}{space 6}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.827482{col 46}{space 2} 2.886186{col 57}{space 1}    2.71{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4} 2.091794{col 87}{space 3} 13.56317
{txt}{space 2}eddurmonths2pctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3678535{col 46}{space 2}  .087111{col 57}{space 1}    4.22{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .1947387{col 87}{space 3} .5409683
{txt}{space 3}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0887592{col 46}{space 2} .0357659{col 57}{space 1}   -2.48{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4}-.1598365{col 87}{space 3} -.017682
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1913453{col 46}{space 2} .3920974{col 57}{space 1}   -0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.627{col 74}{space 4}-.9705566{col 87}{space 3} .5878659
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.182093{col 46}{space 2} .9514832{col 57}{space 1}    1.24{col 66}{space 3}0.217{col 74}{space 4}-.7087794{col 87}{space 3} 3.072966
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.47525{col 46}{space 2}    4.934{col 57}{space 1}   -3.95{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-29.28054{col 87}{space 3}-9.669966
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.787719{col 46}{space 2} 4.739657{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.558{col 74}{space 4}-6.631353{col 87}{space 3} 12.20679
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.765688{col 46}{space 2} 8.975411{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.389{col 74}{space 4}-25.60243{col 87}{space 3} 10.07106
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.095885{col 46}{space 2} 3.202767{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-5.268942{col 87}{space 3} 7.460711
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.365232{col 46}{space 2}  5.81913{col 57}{space 1}   -0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.359{col 74}{space 4}-16.92953{col 87}{space 3} 6.199065
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1224904{col 46}{space 2} .1984717{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.539{col 74}{space 4}-.2719304{col 87}{space 3} .5169112
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .204426{col 46}{space 2} .2573969{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.429{col 74}{space 4}-.3070962{col 87}{space 3} .7159482
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.84171{col 46}{space 2} 112.8089{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-193.3423{col 87}{space 3} 255.0257
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.040514{col 46}{space 2} 38.79461{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.836{col 74}{space 4}-85.13665{col 87}{space 3} 69.05562
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4642108{col 46}{space 2} 4.120696{col 57}{space 1}    0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.911{col 74}{space 4}-7.724807{col 87}{space 3} 8.653228
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  66.1378{col 46}{space 2} 94.95821{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.488{col 74}{space 4}-122.5717{col 87}{space 3} 254.8473
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.729
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.094
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDLASTTERM = 0: NONE OF EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/RECENT TERM IN OFFICE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *******
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.078141{col 26}{space 2}  3.73716{col 37}{space 1}   -0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.580{col 54}{space 4}-9.504962{col 67}{space 3} 5.348679
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*12 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.89996{col 26}{space 2} 3.440524{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.582{col 54}{space 4}-8.737279{col 67}{space 3} 4.937359
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*24 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.70558{col 26}{space 2} 3.136212{col 37}{space 1}   -0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.588{col 54}{space 4}-7.938142{col 67}{space 3} 4.526981
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*36 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -1.5112{col 26}{space 2} 2.858276{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.598{col 54}{space 4}-7.191424{col 67}{space 3} 4.169023
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*48 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.316821{col 26}{space 2} 2.615142{col 37}{space 1}   -0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.616{col 54}{space 4}-6.513866{col 67}{space 3} 3.880225
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*60 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.122441{col 26}{space 2} 2.417333{col 37}{space 1}   -0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.644{col 54}{space 4}-5.926382{col 67}{space 3}   3.6815
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*72 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9280613{col 26}{space 2} 2.276693{col 37}{space 1}   -0.41{col 46}{space 3}0.685{col 54}{space 4} -5.45251{col 67}{space 3} 3.596388
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*84 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7336816{col 26}{space 2} 2.204193{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.740{col 54}{space 4}-5.114053{col 67}{space 3}  3.64669
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*96 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5393019{col 26}{space 2} 2.206561{col 37}{space 1}   -0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.807{col 54}{space 4}-4.924378{col 67}{space 3} 3.845774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*108 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3449221{col 26}{space 2} 2.283563{col 37}{space 1}   -0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.880{col 54}{space 4}-4.883023{col 67}{space 3} 4.193179
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*120 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1505424{col 26}{space 2} 2.428108{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.951{col 54}{space 4}-4.975897{col 67}{space 3} 4.674812
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*132 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0438373{col 26}{space 2} 2.629081{col 37}{space 1}    0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.987{col 54}{space 4}-5.180908{col 67}{space 3} 5.268583
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*144 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .238217{col 26}{space 2}  2.87467{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.934{col 54}{space 4}-5.474585{col 67}{space 3} 5.951019
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDLASTTERM = 0.5: HALF OF EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/RECENT TERM IN OFFICE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *******
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*1*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + .5{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.79122{col 26}{space 2} 2.691963{col 37}{space 1}    0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.508{col 54}{space 4} -3.55849{col 67}{space 3} 7.140931
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*12*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 6{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.481226{col 26}{space 2} 2.487685{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.553{col 54}{space 4}-3.462526{col 67}{space 3} 6.424978
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*24*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 12{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.14305{col 26}{space 2} 2.276047{col 37}{space 1}    0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.617{col 54}{space 4}-3.380116{col 67}{space 3} 5.666216
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*36*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 18{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8048742{col 26}{space 2} 2.079578{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.700{col 54}{space 4}-3.327851{col 67}{space 3} 4.937599
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*48*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 24{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4666985{col 26}{space 2} 1.902983{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.807{col 54}{space 4} -3.31508{col 67}{space 3} 4.248477
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*60*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 30{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1285227{col 26}{space 2} 1.752279{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.942{col 54}{space 4}-3.353763{col 67}{space 3} 3.610808
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*72*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 36{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.209653{col 26}{space 2} 1.634643{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.898{col 54}{space 4}-3.458163{col 67}{space 3} 3.038857
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*84*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 42{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5478288{col 26}{space 2} 1.557588{col 37}{space 1}   -0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.726{col 54}{space 4}-3.643207{col 67}{space 3} 2.547549
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 +  picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*96*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 48{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8860045{col 26}{space 2} 1.527266{col 37}{space 1}   -0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.563{col 54}{space 4}-3.921124{col 67}{space 3} 2.149115
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*108*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 54{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.22418{col 26}{space 2} 1.546429{col 37}{space 1}   -0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.431{col 54}{space 4}-4.297383{col 67}{space 3} 1.849023
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*120*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 60{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.562356{col 26}{space 2} 1.613316{col 37}{space 1}   -0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.335{col 54}{space 4}-4.768482{col 67}{space 3}  1.64377
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*132*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 66{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.900532{col 26}{space 2} 1.722374{col 37}{space 1}   -1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.273{col 54}{space 4}-5.323388{col 67}{space 3} 1.522325
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*0.5 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*144*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann + .5{res}*{res}aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 72{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.238708{col 26}{space 2} 1.866226{col 37}{space 1}   -1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.234{col 54}{space 4}-5.947439{col 67}{space 3} 1.470024
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING PCTUNIFIEDLASTTERM = 1: ALL OF EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/RECENT TERM IN OFFICE REFLECTED UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] *******
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.660582{col 26}{space 2} 2.152429{col 37}{space 1}    2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}  1.38308{col 67}{space 3} 9.938083
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 12{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.862411{col 26}{space 2} 2.020115{col 37}{space 1}    2.41{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .8478564{col 67}{space 3} 8.876966
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 24{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.99168{col 26}{space 2} 1.904197{col 37}{space 1}    2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .2074889{col 67}{space 3} 7.775871
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 36{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.120949{col 26}{space 2} 1.823417{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.090{col 54}{space 4}-.5027085{col 67}{space 3} 6.744606
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*48 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 48{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.250218{col 26}{space 2} 1.782558{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.210{col 54}{space 4}-1.292242{col 67}{space 3} 5.792677
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*60 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 60{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.379486{col 26}{space 2} 1.784366{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-2.166566{col 67}{space 3} 4.925539
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*72 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 72{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5087553{col 26}{space 2} 1.828713{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.782{col 54}{space 4}-3.125428{col 67}{space 3} 4.142939
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*84 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 84{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3619759{col 26}{space 2} 1.912644{col 37}{space 1}   -0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.850{col 54}{space 4}-4.162954{col 67}{space 3} 3.439002
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*96 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 96{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.232707{col 26}{space 2} 2.031257{col 37}{space 1}   -0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.546{col 54}{space 4}-5.269403{col 67}{space 3} 2.803989
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*108 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 108{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.103438{col 26}{space 2} 2.178895{col 37}{space 1}   -0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.337{col 54}{space 4}-6.433534{col 67}{space 3} 2.226658
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*120 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 120{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.97417{col 26}{space 2} 2.350095{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.209{col 54}{space 4}-7.644489{col 67}{space 3}  1.69615
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*132 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 132{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.844901{col 26}{space 2} 2.540097{col 37}{space 1}   -1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.134{col 54}{space 4}-8.892809{col 67}{space 3} 1.203008
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann  + picrtermann*144 + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm*1 + picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermpctunifiedlastterm + 144{res}*{res}picrtermannpctunifiedlastterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.715632{col 26}{space 2} 2.744999{col 37}{space 1}   -1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-10.17074{col 67}{space 3}  .739477
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS CONDITIONAL REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE EX-GOVERNOR 'GOVERNED' UNDER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT IN OFFICE DURING THEIR LAST/FINAL YEAR AS GOVERNOR *****
. 
. *
. 
. generate unifiedlastyear=0 if pctunifiedlastterm==0
{txt}(160 missing values generated)

{com}. replace unifiedlastyear=1 if pctunifiedlastterm!=0
{txt}(160 real changes made)

{com}. 
. *
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Last/Final Year) * % Unified Party Government (Last/Final Year)****
. generate aigryearunifiedlastyear = personalincomerecentyearann*unifiedlastyear
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * % Unified Party Government (Last/Final Year) ****
. generate eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear = eddurmonths2*unifiedlastyear
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Last/Final Year) * Election Delay * % Unified Party Government (Last/Final Year) ****
. generate picryearannunifiedlastyear = picryearann*unifiedlastyear
{txt}
{com}. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10I: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 unifiedlastyear  picryearann  aigryearunifiedlastyear eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear  picryearannunifiedlastyear lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.35104721
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.2468031

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.199997{col 46}{space 2} 5.548416{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.693{col 74}{space 4}-13.21065{col 87}{space 3} 8.810655
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3386925{col 46}{space 2}  .152415{col 57}{space 1}   -2.22{col 66}{space 3}0.029{col 74}{space 4}-.6411551{col 87}{space 3}-.0362299
{txt}{space 17}unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-28.77175{col 46}{space 2} 16.92226{col 57}{space 1}   -1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-62.35343{col 87}{space 3} 4.809922
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0552327{col 46}{space 2} .0485009{col 57}{space 1}    1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.258{col 74}{space 4}-.0410158{col 87}{space 3} .1514811
{txt}{space 9}aigryearunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.513955{col 46}{space 2} 5.882232{col 57}{space 1}    1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.271{col 74}{space 4}-5.159143{col 87}{space 3} 18.18705
{txt}{space 5}eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3969357{col 46}{space 2} .1581664{col 57}{space 1}    2.51{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4} .0830597{col 87}{space 3} .7108117
{txt}{space 6}picryearannunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0894805{col 46}{space 2} .0527195{col 57}{space 1}   -1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.093{col 74}{space 4}-.1941005{col 87}{space 3} .0151396
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1164334{col 46}{space 2} .3487442{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.739{col 74}{space 4} -.575638{col 87}{space 3} .8085049
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2136906{col 46}{space 2} 1.002059{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.832{col 74}{space 4}-2.202244{col 87}{space 3} 1.774862
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.49537{col 46}{space 2} 4.972203{col 57}{space 1}   -3.72{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-28.36254{col 87}{space 3}-8.628196
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8917257{col 46}{space 2}  5.29154{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.867{col 74}{space 4}-9.609162{col 87}{space 3} 11.39261
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.739003{col 46}{space 2} 9.724037{col 57}{space 1}   -0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.701{col 74}{space 4}-23.03604{col 87}{space 3} 15.55803
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.656889{col 46}{space 2}   3.7567{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.660{col 74}{space 4}-9.111939{col 87}{space 3}  5.79816
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.792062{col 46}{space 2} 4.165997{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.168{col 74}{space 4}-14.05935{col 87}{space 3} 2.475224
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1499802{col 46}{space 2}  .253088{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.555{col 74}{space 4}-.3522648{col 87}{space 3} .6522251
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4979012{col 46}{space 2} .2556189{col 57}{space 1}    1.95{col 66}{space 3}0.054{col 74}{space 4}-.0093663{col 87}{space 3} 1.005169
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 82.34747{col 46}{space 2} 16.54818{col 57}{space 1}    4.98{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 49.50814{col 87}{space 3} 115.1868
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.262
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.196
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook10i, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook10i if ryearfullresidsimrcook10i >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryea~10i {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.233537 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0    1.50122 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   4.674898 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10J: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 unifiedlastyear  picryearann  aigryearunifiedlastyear eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear  picryearannunifiedlastyear  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook10i < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.42315395
{txt}Number of obs = {res}112
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.7751145

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.776848{col 46}{space 2} 2.756379{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.521{col 74}{space 4}-7.248951{col 87}{space 3} 3.695256
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3455027{col 46}{space 2} .0918339{col 57}{space 1}   -3.76{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.5278161{col 87}{space 3}-.1631893
{txt}{space 17}unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-29.78353{col 46}{space 2}  8.23559{col 57}{space 1}   -3.62{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-46.13324{col 87}{space 3}-13.43381
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0547134{col 46}{space 2} .0303838{col 57}{space 1}    1.80{col 66}{space 3}0.075{col 74}{space 4} -.005606{col 87}{space 3} .1150328
{txt}{space 9}aigryearunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.537525{col 46}{space 2} 3.049428{col 57}{space 1}    2.14{col 66}{space 3}0.035{col 74}{space 4} .4836451{col 87}{space 3} 12.59141
{txt}{space 5}eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4055031{col 46}{space 2} .0935775{col 57}{space 1}    4.33{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .2197283{col 87}{space 3} .5912779
{txt}{space 6}picryearannunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0914815{col 46}{space 2} .0353774{col 57}{space 1}   -2.59{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4}-.1617144{col 87}{space 3}-.0212485
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0949569{col 46}{space 2} .2437727{col 57}{space 1}    0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.698{col 74}{space 4}-.3889931{col 87}{space 3} .5789069
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4252127{col 46}{space 2} .9599989{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.659{col 74}{space 4}-2.331051{col 87}{space 3} 1.480626
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.69642{col 46}{space 2}  3.50563{col 57}{space 1}   -5.33{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.65598{col 87}{space 3}-11.73687
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8849585{col 46}{space 2} 4.730876{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.852{col 74}{space 4}-8.507017{col 87}{space 3} 10.27693
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.138398{col 46}{space 2} 7.246709{col 57}{space 1}   -0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.569{col 74}{space 4}-18.52494{col 87}{space 3} 10.24814
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.782797{col 46}{space 2} 2.201387{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.420{col 74}{space 4}-6.153104{col 87}{space 3} 2.587509
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.489499{col 46}{space 2} 3.841788{col 57}{space 1}   -1.69{col 66}{space 3}0.094{col 74}{space 4}-14.11641{col 87}{space 3} 1.137414
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1503697{col 46}{space 2} .1930551{col 57}{space 1}    0.78{col 66}{space 3}0.438{col 74}{space 4}-.2328932{col 87}{space 3} .5336325
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4892562{col 46}{space 2} .1795819{col 57}{space 1}    2.72{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4} .1327411{col 87}{space 3} .8457714
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 84.67655{col 46}{space 2} 14.70074{col 57}{space 1}    5.76{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 55.49189{col 87}{space 3} 113.8612
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.568
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.168
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10K: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 unifiedlastyear  picryearann  aigryearunifiedlastyear eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear  picryearannunifiedlastyear   lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.37247851
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.1677883

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.013597{col 46}{space 2} 3.860652{col 57}{space 1}   -0.78{col 66}{space 3}0.437{col 74}{space 4}-10.67796{col 87}{space 3} 4.650767
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3757771{col 46}{space 2} .1045576{col 57}{space 1}   -3.59{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-.5833502{col 87}{space 3} -.168204
{txt}{space 17}unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-32.95023{col 46}{space 2} 13.67389{col 57}{space 1}   -2.41{col 66}{space 3}0.018{col 74}{space 4}-60.09634{col 87}{space 3}-5.804119
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   .06774{col 46}{space 2} .0353366{col 57}{space 1}    1.92{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4} -.002412{col 87}{space 3} .1378921
{txt}{space 9}aigryearunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.679249{col 46}{space 2} 4.298238{col 57}{space 1}    1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.077{col 74}{space 4}-.8538325{col 87}{space 3} 16.21233
{txt}{space 5}eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4446562{col 46}{space 2} .1148419{col 57}{space 1}    3.87{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .2166661{col 87}{space 3} .6726463
{txt}{space 6}picryearannunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1055818{col 46}{space 2} .0391293{col 57}{space 1}   -2.70{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4}-.1832632{col 87}{space 3}-.0279003
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0073089{col 46}{space 2}  .386749{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.985{col 74}{space 4} -.760485{col 87}{space 3} .7751027
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0086315{col 46}{space 2} 1.234226{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.994{col 74}{space 4} -2.45888{col 87}{space 3} 2.441617
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.47318{col 46}{space 2} 5.765228{col 57}{space 1}   -3.03{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} -28.9186{col 87}{space 3} -6.02775
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7307482{col 46}{space 2}  5.66023{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.898{col 74}{space 4}-10.50623{col 87}{space 3} 11.96772
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.070526{col 46}{space 2} 9.627741{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.750{col 74}{space 4}-22.18401{col 87}{space 3} 16.04296
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.374038{col 46}{space 2} 3.933095{col 57}{space 1}   -0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.728{col 74}{space 4} -9.18222{col 87}{space 3} 6.434143
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -4.33919{col 46}{space 2} 4.721696{col 57}{space 1}   -0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.360{col 74}{space 4}-13.71294{col 87}{space 3} 5.034562
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1445865{col 46}{space 2} .2514604{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.567{col 74}{space 4}-.3546256{col 87}{space 3} .6437985
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3730365{col 46}{space 2} .2514366{col 57}{space 1}    1.48{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-.1261283{col 87}{space 3} .8722013
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  46.7067{col 46}{space 2} 109.2861{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.670{col 74}{space 4}-170.2536{col 87}{space 3}  263.667
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.33443{col 46}{space 2} 36.37641{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.715{col 74}{space 4}-85.55074{col 87}{space 3} 58.88187
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.093692{col 46}{space 2} 3.798808{col 57}{space 1}    0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.774{col 74}{space 4}-6.447894{col 87}{space 3} 8.635279
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 40.76061{col 46}{space 2} 95.59998{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.671{col 74}{space 4}-149.0294{col 87}{space 3} 230.5506
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.384
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.112
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook10k, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook10k if ryearfullresidsimrcook10k >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryea~10k {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.058972 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.772574 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-10L: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2  unifiedlastyear  picryearann  aigryearunifiedlastyear eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear  picryearannunifiedlastyear   lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook10k < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.4049797
{txt}Number of obs = {res}113
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.8162025

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.403808{col 46}{space 2} 3.894624{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.384{col 74}{space 4}-11.13776{col 87}{space 3} 4.330145
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3756104{col 46}{space 2} .1008459{col 57}{space 1}   -3.72{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.5758705{col 87}{space 3}-.1753504
{txt}{space 17}unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-29.63146{col 46}{space 2} 11.93989{col 57}{space 1}   -2.48{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4}-53.34172{col 87}{space 3}-5.921212
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0716058{col 46}{space 2} .0342642{col 57}{space 1}    2.09{col 66}{space 3}0.039{col 74}{space 4} .0035639{col 87}{space 3} .1396476
{txt}{space 9}aigryearunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.340208{col 46}{space 2}  4.15014{col 57}{space 1}    1.77{col 66}{space 3}0.080{col 74}{space 4}-.9011477{col 87}{space 3} 15.58156
{txt}{space 5}eddurmonths2unifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4340743{col 46}{space 2} .1083735{col 57}{space 1}    4.01{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .218866{col 87}{space 3} .6492827
{txt}{space 6}picryearannunifiedlastyear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1070164{col 46}{space 2} .0370331{col 57}{space 1}   -2.89{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-.1805569{col 87}{space 3}-.0334759
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0808404{col 46}{space 2} .3565143{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.821{col 74}{space 4}-.7888072{col 87}{space 3} .6271264
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .343813{col 46}{space 2} 1.052973{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.745{col 74}{space 4}-1.747183{col 87}{space 3} 2.434809
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.10005{col 46}{space 2} 6.198225{col 57}{space 1}   -2.76{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4}-29.40849{col 87}{space 3}-4.791603
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1393462{col 46}{space 2} 6.124069{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.982{col 74}{space 4}-12.30053{col 87}{space 3} 12.02184
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.33152{col 46}{space 2} 8.274318{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.688{col 74}{space 4}-19.76268{col 87}{space 3} 13.09964
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.437784{col 46}{space 2} 3.716981{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.700{col 74}{space 4}-8.818972{col 87}{space 3} 5.943405
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.618311{col 46}{space 2} 5.222514{col 57}{space 1}   -0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.379{col 74}{space 4}-14.98919{col 87}{space 3} 5.752567
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1349319{col 46}{space 2} .2347642{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.567{col 74}{space 4}-.3312631{col 87}{space 3}  .601127
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3577733{col 46}{space 2} .2150797{col 57}{space 1}    1.66{col 66}{space 3}0.100{col 74}{space 4}-.0693323{col 87}{space 3}  .784879
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 52.34416{col 46}{space 2} 108.7668{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.631{col 74}{space 4}-163.6451{col 87}{space 3} 268.3335
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -14.2202{col 46}{space 2} 36.64593{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.699{col 74}{space 4}-86.99175{col 87}{space 3} 58.55135
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   1.0933{col 46}{space 2} 3.859014{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.778{col 74}{space 4}-6.569937{col 87}{space 3} 8.756537
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.78638{col 46}{space 2} 99.55359{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.705{col 74}{space 4}-159.9073{col 87}{space 3} 235.4801
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.448
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.040
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST  [SETTING UNIFIEDLASTYEAR = 0: EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/FINAL YEAR IN OFFICE WAS UDNER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.332202{col 26}{space 2} 3.870155{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.391{col 54}{space 4}-11.01756{col 67}{space 3}  4.35316
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.544538{col 26}{space 2} 3.611524{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.483{col 54}{space 4} -9.71631{col 67}{space 3} 4.627233
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.685269{col 26}{space 2} 3.355032{col 37}{space 1}   -0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.617{col 54}{space 4}-8.347697{col 67}{space 3}  4.97716
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8259995{col 26}{space 2} 3.131692{col 37}{space 1}   -0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.793{col 54}{space 4}-7.044918{col 67}{space 3} 5.392919
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0332698{col 26}{space 2} 2.949045{col 37}{space 1}    0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.991{col 54}{space 4}-5.822949{col 67}{space 3} 5.889489
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8925392{col 26}{space 2} 2.815024{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.752{col 54}{space 4}-4.697541{col 67}{space 3}  6.48262
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.751809{col 26}{space 2} 2.736783{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.524{col 54}{space 4}-3.682899{col 67}{space 3} 7.186516
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.611078{col 26}{space 2} 2.719139{col 37}{space 1}    0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.339{col 54}{space 4}-2.788593{col 67}{space 3} 8.010749
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.470347{col 26}{space 2} 2.763255{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.212{col 54}{space 4}-2.016929{col 67}{space 3} 8.957624
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.329617{col 26}{space 2}  2.86628{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.134{col 54}{space 4}-1.362247{col 67}{space 3} 10.02148
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.188886{col 26}{space 2} 3.022195{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4} -.812594{col 67}{space 3} 11.19037
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.048155{col 26}{space 2} 3.223335{col 37}{space 1}    1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-.3527484{col 67}{space 3} 12.44906
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.907425{col 26}{space 2} 3.461825{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0329264{col 67}{space 3} 13.78192
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST  [SETTING UNIFIEDLASTYEAR = 0.5: HALF OF EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/FINAL YEAR IN OFFICE WAS UDNER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*1*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + .5{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .284394{col 26}{space 2} 2.235257{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.899{col 54}{space 4}-4.154383{col 67}{space 3} 4.723171
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*12*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 6{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4834676{col 26}{space 2} 2.080004{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.817{col 54}{space 4}-3.647008{col 67}{space 3} 4.613943
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*24*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 12{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7006388{col 26}{space 2} 1.923783{col 37}{space 1}    0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.717{col 54}{space 4}-3.119613{col 67}{space 3}  4.52089
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*36*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 18{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .91781{col 26}{space 2} 1.784778{col 37}{space 1}    0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.608{col 54}{space 4}-2.626404{col 67}{space 3} 4.462024
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*48*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 24{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.134981{col 26}{space 2} 1.667299{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.498{col 54}{space 4}-2.175945{col 67}{space 3} 4.445907
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*60*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 30{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.352152{col 26}{space 2} 1.576169{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.393{col 54}{space 4}-1.777807{col 67}{space 3} 4.482112
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*72*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 36{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.569323{col 26}{space 2} 1.516146{col 37}{space 1}    1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.303{col 54}{space 4}-1.441441{col 67}{space 3} 4.580088
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*84*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 42{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.786495{col 26}{space 2}  1.49099{col 37}{space 1}    1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.234{col 54}{space 4}-1.174317{col 67}{space 3} 4.747306
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*96*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 48{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.003666{col 26}{space 2} 1.502456{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.186{col 54}{space 4}-.9799133{col 67}{space 3} 4.987245
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*108*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 54{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.220837{col 26}{space 2} 1.549729{col 37}{space 1}    1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.155{col 54}{space 4}-.8566175{col 67}{space 3} 5.298291
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*120*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 60{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.438008{col 26}{space 2} 1.629697{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.138{col 54}{space 4}-.7982473{col 67}{space 3} 5.674264
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*132*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 66{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.655179{col 26}{space 2} 1.737853{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.7958515{col 67}{space 3}  6.10621
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*0.5 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*144*0.5

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann + .5{res}*{res}aigryearunifiedlastyear + 72{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.872351{col 26}{space 2} 1.869309{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.8397271{col 67}{space 3} 6.584428
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST  [SETTING UNIFIEDLASTYEAR = 1: ALL OF EX-GOVERNOR'S LAST/FINAL YEAR IN OFFICE WAS UDNER UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT] ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.90099{col 26}{space 2} 1.876759{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .1741181{col 67}{space 3} 7.627862
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 12{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.511473{col 26}{space 2} 1.749596{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0371221{col 67}{space 3} 6.985825
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 24{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.086546{col 26}{space 2} 1.622967{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-.1363453{col 67}{space 3} 6.309438
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 36{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.661619{col 26}{space 2} 1.512038{col 37}{space 1}    1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4} -.340989{col 67}{space 3} 5.664228
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 48{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.236692{col 26}{space 2} 1.420492{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.119{col 54}{space 4}-.5841225{col 67}{space 3} 5.057507
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 60{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.811765{col 26}{space 2}  1.35227{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-.8735742{col 67}{space 3} 4.497105
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 72{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.386838{col 26}{space 2} 1.311019{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.293{col 54}{space 4}-1.216585{col 67}{space 3} 3.990262
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 84{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9619114{col 26}{space 2}  1.29931{col 37}{space 1}    0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.461{col 54}{space 4}-1.618261{col 67}{space 3} 3.542084
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 96{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5369844{col 26}{space 2} 1.317932{col 37}{space 1}    0.41{col 46}{space 3}0.685{col 54}{space 4}-2.080167{col 67}{space 3} 3.154136
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 108{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1120574{col 26}{space 2} 1.365643{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.935{col 54}{space 4} -2.59984{col 67}{space 3} 2.823955
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 120{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3128696{col 26}{space 2} 1.439555{col 37}{space 1}   -0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.828{col 54}{space 4}-3.171541{col 67}{space 3} 2.545802
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 132{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7377966{col 26}{space 2}  1.53589{col 37}{space 1}   -0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.632{col 54}{space 4}-3.787769{col 67}{space 3} 2.312176
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144 + aigryearunifiedlastyear*1 + picryearannunifiedlastyear*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearunifiedlastyear + 144{res}*{res}picryearannunifiedlastyear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.162724{col 26}{space 2} 1.650726{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.483{col 54}{space 4}-4.440737{col 67}{space 3}  2.11529
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** ROBUSTNESS CHECK # 2 *****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-11:    ESTIMATE STATISTICAL MODELS THAT ACCOUNT FOR ASYMMETRIC ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY & REPUTATION DEPRECIATION BASED ON EX-GOVERNORS' ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP BEING ABOVE [ABOVE RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE] VERSUS BELOW AVERAGE [BELOW RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE]  ******* 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS ASYMMETRIC ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY & REPUTATION DEPRECIATION REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON EX-GOVERNORS' ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP BEING ABOVE [ABOVE RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE] VERSUS BELOW AVERAGE [BELOW RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE]: TENURE MODELS  ******* 
. 
. 
. 
. generate abovemedianaigtenure = 1 if personalincometenureann >=  2.162
{txt}(154 missing values generated)

{com}. replace abovemedianaigtenure = 0 if personalincometenureann <   2.162
{txt}(154 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Above Median Average Income Growth (Tenure) ****
. generate aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure = personalincometenureann*abovemedianaigtenure
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Tenure) ****
. generate eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure = eddurmonths2*abovemedianaigtenure
{txt}
{com}. 
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Tenure) ****
. generate pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = pictenureann*abovemedianaigtenure
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigtenure pictenureann aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.28410707
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.2932223

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.589713{col 46}{space 2} 2.855585{col 57}{space 1}    3.01{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 2.922898{col 87}{space 3} 14.25653
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .139165{col 46}{space 2} .0700951{col 57}{space 1}    1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.050{col 74}{space 4} .0000636{col 87}{space 3} .2782665
{txt}{space 12}abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.67039{col 46}{space 2} 24.09473{col 57}{space 1}   -1.40{col 66}{space 3}0.165{col 74}{space 4}-81.48559{col 87}{space 3} 14.14481
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1652435{col 46}{space 2}  .061649{col 57}{space 1}   -2.68{col 66}{space 3}0.009{col 74}{space 4}-.2875839{col 87}{space 3} -.042903
{txt}{space 3}aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.849906{col 46}{space 2} 8.805394{col 57}{space 1}    1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.317{col 74}{space 4}-8.624112{col 87}{space 3} 26.32392
{txt}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5573437{col 46}{space 2} .3597862{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.125{col 74}{space 4}-.1566403{col 87}{space 3} 1.271328
{txt}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1195953{col 46}{space 2} .1238713{col 57}{space 1}   -0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.337{col 74}{space 4} -.365414{col 87}{space 3} .1262233
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1385042{col 46}{space 2} .3051919{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.651{col 74}{space 4}-.4671392{col 87}{space 3} .7441477
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7113578{col 46}{space 2} .8448476{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.402{col 74}{space 4}-.9652148{col 87}{space 3}  2.38793
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -19.8461{col 46}{space 2} 4.628476{col 57}{space 1}   -4.29{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-29.03116{col 87}{space 3}-10.66104
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.321329{col 46}{space 2} 5.739516{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.687{col 74}{space 4}-9.068553{col 87}{space 3} 13.71121
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.41406{col 46}{space 2} 8.752743{col 57}{space 1}   -1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.237{col 74}{space 4} -27.7836{col 87}{space 3} 6.955469
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0224384{col 46}{space 2}   3.3718{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.995{col 74}{space 4}-6.713665{col 87}{space 3} 6.668788
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -5.00922{col 46}{space 2}  4.37659{col 57}{space 1}   -1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.255{col 74}{space 4}-13.69442{col 87}{space 3}  3.67598
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2515558{col 46}{space 2} .2704576{col 57}{space 1}    0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.355{col 74}{space 4}-.2851584{col 87}{space 3} .7882701
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1449621{col 46}{space 2} .2481254{col 57}{space 1}    0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.560{col 74}{space 4}-.3474347{col 87}{space 3}  .637359
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 51.69118{col 46}{space 2} 20.65259{col 57}{space 1}    2.50{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4} 10.70679{col 87}{space 3} 92.67557
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.591
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.008
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook11a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook11a if tenurefullresidsimrcook11a >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenu~11a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.622351 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   2.063466 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.078564 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.247564 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.049406 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.397057 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.985815 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.269325 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.241261 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   2.964386 {txt}{c |}
106. {c |} {res}    34.5         23         1   1.025394 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   8.698359 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.658436 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigtenure pictenureann aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook11a < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39857561
{txt}Number of obs = {res}102
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.6738885

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.922208{col 46}{space 2} 2.220031{col 57}{space 1}    4.02{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.508191{col 87}{space 3} 13.33623
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .125869{col 46}{space 2} .0608621{col 57}{space 1}    2.07{col 66}{space 3}0.042{col 74}{space 4} .0048588{col 87}{space 3} .2468793
{txt}{space 12}abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-35.12135{col 46}{space 2} 17.54428{col 57}{space 1}   -2.00{col 66}{space 3}0.048{col 74}{space 4}-70.00409{col 87}{space 3}-.2386159
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1386771{col 46}{space 2}   .04835{col 57}{space 1}   -2.87{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}  -.23481{col 87}{space 3}-.0425443
{txt}{space 3}aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  9.42472{col 46}{space 2} 6.648066{col 57}{space 1}    1.42{col 66}{space 3}0.160{col 74}{space 4}-3.793417{col 87}{space 3} 22.64286
{txt}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6025549{col 46}{space 2} .2894653{col 57}{space 1}    2.08{col 66}{space 3}0.040{col 74}{space 4} .0270203{col 87}{space 3}  1.17809
{txt}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1616978{col 46}{space 2}    .1087{col 57}{space 1}   -1.49{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-.3778225{col 87}{space 3} .0544269
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1385362{col 46}{space 2} .2010007{col 57}{space 1}   -0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.493{col 74}{space 4}-.5381794{col 87}{space 3}  .261107
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9962222{col 46}{space 2} .8961374{col 57}{space 1}    1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.269{col 74}{space 4}-.7855391{col 87}{space 3} 2.777983
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.95329{col 46}{space 2} 4.580391{col 57}{space 1}   -4.14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-28.06033{col 87}{space 3}-9.846242
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1552727{col 46}{space 2} 4.009518{col 57}{space 1}    0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.969{col 74}{space 4}-7.816724{col 87}{space 3} 8.127269
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.545673{col 46}{space 2} 6.347733{col 57}{space 1}   -1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.238{col 74}{space 4}-20.16667{col 87}{space 3} 5.075321
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5381951{col 46}{space 2} 2.292331{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.815{col 74}{space 4}-5.095963{col 87}{space 3} 4.019572
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.116187{col 46}{space 2} 3.624884{col 57}{space 1}   -1.41{col 66}{space 3}0.162{col 74}{space 4}-12.32343{col 87}{space 3} 2.091053
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1416297{col 46}{space 2} .1877898{col 57}{space 1}    0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.453{col 74}{space 4}-.2317467{col 87}{space 3} .5150062
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2387546{col 46}{space 2} .1483888{col 57}{space 1}    1.61{col 66}{space 3}0.111{col 74}{space 4} -.056282{col 87}{space 3} .5337911
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 68.46706{col 46}{space 2} 13.87013{col 57}{space 1}    4.94{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 40.88951{col 87}{space 3}  96.0446
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}13.620
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigtenure pictenureann aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.30318798
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.1890807

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  8.34176{col 46}{space 2} 3.041008{col 57}{space 1}    2.74{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} 2.304596{col 87}{space 3} 14.37892
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1410124{col 46}{space 2} .0675147{col 57}{space 1}    2.09{col 66}{space 3}0.039{col 74}{space 4} .0069788{col 87}{space 3}  .275046
{txt}{space 12}abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-38.57662{col 46}{space 2} 22.87555{col 57}{space 1}   -1.69{col 66}{space 3}0.095{col 74}{space 4}-83.99033{col 87}{space 3} 6.837088
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1452441{col 46}{space 2} .0575623{col 57}{space 1}   -2.52{col 66}{space 3}0.013{col 74}{space 4}-.2595197{col 87}{space 3}-.0309686
{txt}{space 3}aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 11.32213{col 46}{space 2} 8.152876{col 57}{space 1}    1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.168{col 74}{space 4}-4.863378{col 87}{space 3} 27.50763
{txt}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5218461{col 46}{space 2} .3446917{col 57}{space 1}    1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.133{col 74}{space 4}-.1624534{col 87}{space 3} 1.206146
{txt}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1256846{col 46}{space 2} .1177914{col 57}{space 1}   -1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.289{col 74}{space 4}  -.35953{col 87}{space 3} .1081609
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1175957{col 46}{space 2} .3443101{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-.8011378{col 87}{space 3} .5659463
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.006147{col 46}{space 2}  .842362{col 57}{space 1}    1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.235{col 74}{space 4}-.6661532{col 87}{space 3} 2.678447
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.80173{col 46}{space 2} 5.298866{col 57}{space 1}   -3.55{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-29.32131{col 87}{space 3}-8.282152
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.606383{col 46}{space 2} 4.684275{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-6.693078{col 87}{space 3} 11.90584
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.16732{col 46}{space 2} 8.074895{col 57}{space 1}   -1.26{col 66}{space 3}0.211{col 74}{space 4}-26.19801{col 87}{space 3} 5.863379
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1058375{col 46}{space 2} 3.187873{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.974{col 74}{space 4} -6.22289{col 87}{space 3} 6.434565
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.250699{col 46}{space 2} 4.558474{col 57}{space 1}   -0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-13.30041{col 87}{space 3} 4.799016
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2169523{col 46}{space 2} .2425524{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.373{col 74}{space 4}-.2645751{col 87}{space 3} .6984796
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1610292{col 46}{space 2}  .192469{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.405{col 74}{space 4}  -.22107{col 87}{space 3} .5431284
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 51.82464{col 46}{space 2} 85.03894{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.544{col 74}{space 4} -116.999{col 87}{space 3} 220.6483
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.94298{col 46}{space 2} 28.89451{col 57}{space 1}   -0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.582{col 74}{space 4}-73.30583{col 87}{space 3} 41.41988
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.472875{col 46}{space 2} 3.067016{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.632{col 74}{space 4}-4.615921{col 87}{space 3}  7.56167
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.02588{col 46}{space 2} 72.22751{col 57}{space 1}    0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.857{col 74}{space 4}-130.3639{col 87}{space 3} 156.4156
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.449
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook11c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook11c if tenurefullresidsimrcook11c >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenu~11c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.312302 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.810984 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.411916 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.851653 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0    1.24284 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.251422 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   7.288423 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.727395 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigtenure pictenureann aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook11c < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.34807197
{txt}Number of obs = {res}107
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1547421

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.935274{col 46}{space 2} 2.900587{col 57}{space 1}    3.08{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 3.170044{col 87}{space 3}  14.7005
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .145431{col 46}{space 2}  .057889{col 57}{space 1}    2.51{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4} .0303703{col 87}{space 3} .2604918
{txt}{space 12}abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-29.58047{col 46}{space 2} 19.57662{col 57}{space 1}   -1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.134{col 74}{space 4}-68.49113{col 87}{space 3} 9.330193
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1332306{col 46}{space 2} .0494038{col 57}{space 1}   -2.70{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4} -.231426{col 87}{space 3}-.0350351
{txt}{space 3}aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  7.94399{col 46}{space 2} 6.876382{col 57}{space 1}    1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.251{col 74}{space 4}-5.723565{col 87}{space 3} 21.61154
{txt}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4515977{col 46}{space 2} .3112382{col 57}{space 1}    1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.150{col 74}{space 4} -.167022{col 87}{space 3} 1.070217
{txt}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1130614{col 46}{space 2} .1017328{col 57}{space 1}   -1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.269{col 74}{space 4}-.3152664{col 87}{space 3} .0891436
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.370892{col 46}{space 2} .3736738{col 57}{space 1}   -0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.324{col 74}{space 4}-1.113609{col 87}{space 3} .3718251
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.967116{col 46}{space 2} .9882876{col 57}{space 1}    1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.050{col 74}{space 4} .0027876{col 87}{space 3} 3.931445
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.32732{col 46}{space 2}  5.29274{col 57}{space 1}   -2.90{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-25.84722{col 87}{space 3}-4.807428
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .426107{col 46}{space 2}  4.36216{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.922{col 74}{space 4}-8.244158{col 87}{space 3} 9.096372
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.222423{col 46}{space 2} 7.501841{col 57}{space 1}   -0.96{col 66}{space 3}0.338{col 74}{space 4}-22.13314{col 87}{space 3} 7.688299
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1711903{col 46}{space 2} 2.863751{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.952{col 74}{space 4}-5.863205{col 87}{space 3} 5.520825
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.581523{col 46}{space 2} 4.310728{col 57}{space 1}   -1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.291{col 74}{space 4}-13.14956{col 87}{space 3} 3.986516
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1269441{col 46}{space 2} .2160076{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.558{col 74}{space 4}-.3023945{col 87}{space 3} .5562826
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1736644{col 46}{space 2} .1718076{col 57}{space 1}    1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.315{col 74}{space 4}-.1678217{col 87}{space 3} .5151506
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 89.26296{col 46}{space 2} 100.3748{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.376{col 74}{space 4}-110.2429{col 87}{space 3} 288.7688
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-26.89653{col 46}{space 2} 33.93034{col 57}{space 1}   -0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.430{col 74}{space 4}-94.33676{col 87}{space 3}  40.5437
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.461112{col 46}{space 2} 3.539215{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-4.573461{col 87}{space 3} 9.495685
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.97135{col 46}{space 2} 80.52376{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.843{col 74}{space 4}-176.0211{col 87}{space 3} 144.0783
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.682
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.008
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 0: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED BELOW MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] *****
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure *1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.802044{col 26}{space 2} 2.875973{col 37}{space 1}    3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 3.085735{col 67}{space 3} 14.51835
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.336507{col 26}{space 2} 2.651303{col 37}{space 1}    2.77{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} 2.066756{col 67}{space 3} 12.60626
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.737741{col 26}{space 2} 2.519591{col 37}{space 1}    2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}   .72978{col 67}{space 3}  10.7457
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.138974{col 26}{space 2} 2.523927{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.105{col 54}{space 4}-.8776045{col 67}{space 3} 9.155553
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.540208{col 26}{space 2} 2.663646{col 37}{space 1}    0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.343{col 54}{space 4}-2.754077{col 67}{space 3} 7.834492
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9414409{col 26}{space 2} 2.919374{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.748{col 54}{space 4} -4.86113{col 67}{space 3} 6.744012
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6573258{col 26}{space 2} 3.263956{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.841{col 54}{space 4}-7.144791{col 67}{space 3}  5.83014
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.256092{col 26}{space 2} 3.672466{col 37}{space 1}   -0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.541{col 54}{space 4}-9.555516{col 67}{space 3} 5.043331
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.854859{col 26}{space 2} 4.125959{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.353{col 54}{space 4}-12.05565{col 67}{space 3} 4.345931
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.453626{col 26}{space 2} 4.611182{col 37}{space 1}   -1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.240{col 54}{space 4}-14.61885{col 67}{space 3} 3.711598
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.052392{col 26}{space 2} 5.119121{col 37}{space 1}   -1.38{col 46}{space 3}0.172{col 54}{space 4} -17.2272{col 67}{space 3} 3.122414
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.651159{col 26}{space 2} 5.643645{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-19.86851{col 67}{space 3} 2.566196
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*0 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-10.24993{col 26}{space 2} 6.180533{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.101{col 54}{space 4} -22.5344{col 67}{space 3} 2.034553
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 1: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED ABOVE MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] *****
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure *1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.63297{col 26}{space 2} 7.038231{col 37}{space 1}    2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} 2.643725{col 67}{space 3} 30.62222
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 12{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 13.92376{col 26}{space 2} 6.089215{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} 1.820785{col 67}{space 3} 26.02674
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 24{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.96826{col 26}{space 2} 5.191781{col 37}{space 1}    2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .6490294{col 67}{space 3} 21.28748
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 36{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.012753{col 26}{space 2} 4.521961{col 37}{space 1}    1.77{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-.9751335{col 67}{space 3} 17.00064
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 48{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.057249{col 26}{space 2} 4.190365{col 37}{space 1}    1.21{col 46}{space 3}0.231{col 54}{space 4}-3.271554{col 67}{space 3} 13.38605
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 60{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.101745{col 26}{space 2} 4.276409{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.624{col 54}{space 4}-6.398081{col 67}{space 3} 10.60157
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 72{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8537583{col 26}{space 2} 4.757487{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.858{col 54}{space 4}-10.30978{col 67}{space 3} 8.602263
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 84{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.809262{col 26}{space 2} 5.531472{col 37}{space 1}   -0.69{col 46}{space 3}0.493{col 54}{space 4}-14.80366{col 67}{space 3} 7.185138
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 96{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.764766{col 26}{space 2} 6.494473{col 37}{space 1}   -1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.300{col 54}{space 4}-19.67323{col 67}{space 3} 6.143703
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 108{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.720269{col 26}{space 2} 7.574739{col 37}{space 1}   -1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.203{col 54}{space 4}-24.77588{col 67}{space 3} 5.335344
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 120{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-12.67577{col 26}{space 2}  8.72884{col 37}{space 1}   -1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.150{col 54}{space 4}-30.02529{col 67}{space 3} 4.673741
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 132{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-15.63128{col 26}{space 2} 9.931068{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.119{col 54}{space 4}-35.37035{col 67}{space 3} 4.107796
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144 + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure*1 + pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann + aigtenureabovemedianaigtenure + 144{res}*{res}pictenureannabovemedianaigtenure = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-18.58678{col 26}{space 2} 11.16589{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.100{col 54}{space 4}-40.78019{col 67}{space 3} 3.606632
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS ASYMMETRIC ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY & REPUTATION DEPRECIATION REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON EX-GOVERNORS' ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP BEING ABOVE [ABOVE RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE] VERSUS BELOW AVERAGE [BELOW RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE]: LAST/RECENT TERM MODELS  ******* 
. 
. 
. generate abovemedianaigrterm = 1 if personalincomerecenttermann >= 2.135
{txt}(154 missing values generated)

{com}. replace abovemedianaigrterm = 0 if personalincomerecenttermann <  2.135
{txt}(154 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Term) ****
. generate aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm = personalincomerecenttermann*abovemedianaigrterm
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Term) ****
. generate eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm = eddurmonths2*abovemedianaigrterm
{txt}
{com}. 
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Term) ****
. generate picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = picrtermann*abovemedianaigrterm
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11E: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigrterm picrtermann aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.24521521
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.525488

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.28112{col 46}{space 2} 5.211063{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.663{col 74}{space 4}-8.060065{col 87}{space 3}  12.6223
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.130802{col 46}{space 2}  .134264{col 57}{space 1}   -0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.332{col 74}{space 4}-.3972446{col 87}{space 3} .1356406
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.28675{col 46}{space 2} 15.97182{col 57}{space 1}   -0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.444{col 74}{space 4} -43.9823{col 87}{space 3}  19.4088
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0808679{col 46}{space 2} .0735983{col 57}{space 1}    1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.275{col 74}{space 4}-.0651855{col 87}{space 3} .2269213
{txt}{space 5}aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.843939{col 46}{space 2} 6.763432{col 57}{space 1}    0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.675{col 74}{space 4}-10.57787{col 87}{space 3} 16.26575
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6289383{col 46}{space 2} .3510032{col 57}{space 1}    1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.076{col 74}{space 4} -.067616{col 87}{space 3} 1.325493
{txt}{space 2}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2154034{col 46}{space 2} .1083862{col 57}{space 1}   -1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.050{col 74}{space 4}-.4304924{col 87}{space 3}-.0003145
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0129338{col 46}{space 2}   .38216{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.973{col 74}{space 4}-.7454502{col 87}{space 3} .7713179
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.318384{col 46}{space 2} .9595921{col 57}{space 1}    1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.173{col 74}{space 4}-.5858953{col 87}{space 3} 3.222663
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.05548{col 46}{space 2} 4.739659{col 57}{space 1}   -2.97{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4}-23.46118{col 87}{space 3}-4.649779
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9852063{col 46}{space 2} 5.525935{col 57}{space 1}    0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.859{col 74}{space 4}-9.980832{col 87}{space 3} 11.95124
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.62561{col 46}{space 2} 10.26653{col 57}{space 1}   -1.42{col 66}{space 3}0.157{col 74}{space 4}-34.99921{col 87}{space 3} 5.747986
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.626774{col 46}{space 2} 3.278871{col 57}{space 1}    0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.621{col 74}{space 4}-4.880039{col 87}{space 3} 8.133586
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.528494{col 46}{space 2} 4.643756{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.587{col 74}{space 4}-11.74388{col 87}{space 3} 6.686888
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0744068{col 46}{space 2} .2562587{col 57}{space 1}    0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.772{col 74}{space 4}-.4341303{col 87}{space 3} .5829438
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3797672{col 46}{space 2} .3154906{col 57}{space 1}    1.20{col 66}{space 3}0.232{col 74}{space 4}-.2463136{col 87}{space 3} 1.005848
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  61.3526{col 46}{space 2} 24.55781{col 57}{space 1}    2.50{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4} 12.61842{col 87}{space 3} 110.0868
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.500
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.039
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook11e, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook11e if rtermfullresidsimrcook11e >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rter~11e {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.357542 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.874367 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.011245 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.773005 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.357926 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.311214 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.267063 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.504233 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   5.320643 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.374747 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11F: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigrterm picrtermann aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook11e < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.3084831
{txt}Number of obs = {res}105
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.2343538

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.374659{col 46}{space 2} 4.478789{col 57}{space 1}    0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.597{col 74}{space 4}-6.525992{col 87}{space 3} 11.27531
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1201585{col 46}{space 2} .1197888{col 57}{space 1}   -1.00{col 66}{space 3}0.319{col 74}{space 4}-.3582137{col 87}{space 3} .1178966
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.05786{col 46}{space 2} 12.81486{col 57}{space 1}   -0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.391{col 74}{space 4}-36.52471{col 87}{space 3} 14.40898
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0755201{col 46}{space 2} .0654811{col 57}{space 1}    1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.252{col 74}{space 4}-.0546097{col 87}{space 3}   .20565
{txt}{space 5}aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.780503{col 46}{space 2} 5.527627{col 57}{space 1}    0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.616{col 74}{space 4}-8.204495{col 87}{space 3}  13.7655
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5997613{col 46}{space 2} .3609723{col 57}{space 1}    1.66{col 66}{space 3}0.100{col 74}{space 4}-.1175954{col 87}{space 3} 1.317118
{txt}{space 2}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.207178{col 46}{space 2} .1052972{col 57}{space 1}   -1.97{col 66}{space 3}0.052{col 74}{space 4}-.4164341{col 87}{space 3} .0020781
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0550008{col 46}{space 2} .3875714{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.887{col 74}{space 4}-.8252174{col 87}{space 3} .7152159
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.348985{col 46}{space 2} .7796465{col 57}{space 1}    1.73{col 66}{space 3}0.087{col 74}{space 4}-.2003982{col 87}{space 3} 2.898369
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.05951{col 46}{space 2} 4.169708{col 57}{space 1}   -3.37{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-22.34593{col 87}{space 3}-5.773093
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7915701{col 46}{space 2} 5.048976{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.876{col 74}{space 4}-9.242208{col 87}{space 3} 10.82535
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.32537{col 46}{space 2} 9.339295{col 57}{space 1}   -1.53{col 66}{space 3}0.129{col 74}{space 4}-32.88526{col 87}{space 3} 4.234512
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.80812{col 46}{space 2} 2.876152{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.531{col 74}{space 4}-3.907627{col 87}{space 3} 7.523868
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.894198{col 46}{space 2} 4.498692{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.522{col 74}{space 4} -11.8344{col 87}{space 3} 6.046007
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0711989{col 46}{space 2} .2080809{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-.3423182{col 87}{space 3} .4847161
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3920351{col 46}{space 2} .2664902{col 57}{space 1}    1.47{col 66}{space 3}0.145{col 74}{space 4}-.1375582{col 87}{space 3} .9216285
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 64.93624{col 46}{space 2} 22.78386{col 57}{space 1}    2.85{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}  19.6581{col 87}{space 3} 110.2144
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.595
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.061
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11F: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigrterm picrtermann aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26206285
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.3728481

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.513807{col 46}{space 2} 5.250529{col 57}{space 1}    0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.774{col 74}{space 4}-8.909811{col 87}{space 3} 11.93743
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1319883{col 46}{space 2} .1379522{col 57}{space 1}   -0.96{col 66}{space 3}0.341{col 74}{space 4} -.405858{col 87}{space 3} .1418815
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.73964{col 46}{space 2} 17.79391{col 57}{space 1}   -0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.442{col 74}{space 4}-49.06502{col 87}{space 3} 21.58574
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0824321{col 46}{space 2} .0695574{col 57}{space 1}    1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.239{col 74}{space 4}-.0556568{col 87}{space 3} .2205209
{txt}{space 5}aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.799735{col 46}{space 2} 6.896027{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.686{col 74}{space 4}-10.89061{col 87}{space 3} 16.49008
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6538601{col 46}{space 2} .5103425{col 57}{space 1}    1.28{col 66}{space 3}0.203{col 74}{space 4}-.3592978{col 87}{space 3} 1.667018
{txt}{space 2}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2226718{col 46}{space 2} .1371943{col 57}{space 1}   -1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.108{col 74}{space 4} -.495037{col 87}{space 3} .0496934
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1705378{col 46}{space 2} .5508643{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.758{col 74}{space 4}-1.264142{col 87}{space 3}  .923066
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.878878{col 46}{space 2} 1.002302{col 57}{space 1}    1.87{col 66}{space 3}0.064{col 74}{space 4}-.1109427{col 87}{space 3} 3.868698
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.31084{col 46}{space 2} 4.287832{col 57}{space 1}   -2.87{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-20.82326{col 87}{space 3}-3.798419
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.427672{col 46}{space 2} 6.061115{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.690{col 74}{space 4}-9.605162{col 87}{space 3} 14.46051
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.783956{col 46}{space 2} 10.43034{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.351{col 74}{space 4}-30.49081{col 87}{space 3}  10.9229
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7122208{col 46}{space 2} 3.661431{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.846{col 74}{space 4} -7.98108{col 87}{space 3} 6.556639
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3998029{col 46}{space 2} 5.211853{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.939{col 74}{space 4}-10.74664{col 87}{space 3} 9.947034
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .081585{col 46}{space 2} .2492855{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.744{col 74}{space 4}-.4133093{col 87}{space 3} .5764794
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .227022{col 46}{space 2} .3271908{col 57}{space 1}    0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-.4225339{col 87}{space 3} .8765779
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 115.3096{col 46}{space 2} 103.2163{col 57}{space 1}    1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.267{col 74}{space 4}-89.60059{col 87}{space 3} 320.2198
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-39.06435{col 46}{space 2} 35.37153{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.272{col 74}{space 4}-109.2857{col 87}{space 3} 31.15701
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.988884{col 46}{space 2} 3.823969{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.300{col 74}{space 4}-3.602654{col 87}{space 3} 11.58042
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.46979{col 46}{space 2} 84.08035{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.691{col 74}{space 4}-200.3904{col 87}{space 3} 133.4508
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.307
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.043
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook11f, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook11f if rtermfullresidsimrcook11f >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rter~11f {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0    1.01133 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.005946 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.159248 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.308109 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.314946 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   3.291335 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11G: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigrterm picrtermann aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook11f < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.29730534
{txt}Number of obs = {res}109
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5234903

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.89308{col 46}{space 2} 5.274509{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.721{col 74}{space 4}-8.587256{col 87}{space 3} 12.37342
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.116821{col 46}{space 2} .1250345{col 57}{space 1}   -0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-.3652619{col 87}{space 3} .1316199
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.72815{col 46}{space 2} 16.08606{col 57}{space 1}   -0.85{col 66}{space 3}0.396{col 74}{space 4} -45.6908{col 87}{space 3} 18.23451
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0766086{col 46}{space 2} .0646643{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.239{col 74}{space 4} -.051878{col 87}{space 3} .2050952
{txt}{space 5}aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.901137{col 46}{space 2}  6.42006{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.652{col 74}{space 4}-9.855386{col 87}{space 3} 15.65766
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6018371{col 46}{space 2} .4547081{col 57}{space 1}    1.32{col 66}{space 3}0.189{col 74}{space 4}-.3016582{col 87}{space 3} 1.505332
{txt}{space 2}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2070808{col 46}{space 2} .1235367{col 57}{space 1}   -1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.097{col 74}{space 4}-.4525456{col 87}{space 3}  .038384
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2514297{col 46}{space 2} .4918807{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.611{col 74}{space 4}-1.228786{col 87}{space 3} .7259267
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.036746{col 46}{space 2} .8918045{col 57}{space 1}    2.28{col 66}{space 3}0.025{col 74}{space 4} .2647494{col 87}{space 3} 3.808743
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.74506{col 46}{space 2} 4.242425{col 57}{space 1}   -2.77{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4}-20.17467{col 87}{space 3}-3.315455
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.796152{col 46}{space 2} 5.993172{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.642{col 74}{space 4}-9.112153{col 87}{space 3} 14.70446
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.836192{col 46}{space 2} 9.822233{col 57}{space 1}   -1.00{col 66}{space 3}0.319{col 74}{space 4}-29.35276{col 87}{space 3} 9.680374
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1136235{col 46}{space 2} 3.402437{col 57}{space 1}   -0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.973{col 74}{space 4}-6.874193{col 87}{space 3} 6.646946
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4511245{col 46}{space 2} 5.251437{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.932{col 74}{space 4}-10.88562{col 87}{space 3} 9.983369
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0797845{col 46}{space 2} .2275715{col 57}{space 1}    0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.727{col 74}{space 4}-.3723951{col 87}{space 3} .5319642
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2529541{col 46}{space 2} .3000045{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.401{col 74}{space 4}-.3431485{col 87}{space 3} .8490567
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 110.4823{col 46}{space 2} 97.57479{col 57}{space 1}    1.13{col 66}{space 3}0.261{col 74}{space 4}-83.39672{col 87}{space 3} 304.3614
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-36.82242{col 46}{space 2} 33.73832{col 57}{space 1}   -1.09{col 66}{space 3}0.278{col 74}{space 4}-103.8598{col 87}{space 3}  30.2149
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.711286{col 46}{space 2} 3.659726{col 57}{space 1}    1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.313{col 74}{space 4}-3.560511{col 87}{space 3} 10.98308
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -28.5059{col 46}{space 2} 83.34746{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-194.1155{col 87}{space 3} 137.1037
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 7.059
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.029
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 0: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED BELOW MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] ********
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.969689{col 26}{space 2} 5.248197{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.708{col 54}{space 4}-8.458366{col 67}{space 3} 12.39774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.812383{col 26}{space 2} 5.004988{col 37}{space 1}    0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.576{col 54}{space 4}-7.132421{col 67}{space 3} 12.75719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.731686{col 26}{space 2} 4.845991{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.443{col 54}{space 4}-5.897195{col 67}{space 3} 13.36057
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.650989{col 26}{space 2} 4.808495{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.336{col 54}{space 4}-4.903387{col 67}{space 3} 14.20537
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.570292{col 26}{space 2} 4.895291{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.258{col 54}{space 4}-4.156547{col 67}{space 3} 15.29713
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.489595{col 26}{space 2} 5.100038{col 37}{space 1}    1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.207{col 54}{space 4}-3.644072{col 67}{space 3} 16.62326
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.408898{col 26}{space 2}  5.40936{col 37}{space 1}    1.37{col 46}{space 3}0.174{col 54}{space 4}-3.339384{col 67}{space 3} 18.15718
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.328201{col 26}{space 2} 5.806567{col 37}{space 1}    1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.155{col 54}{space 4}-3.209323{col 67}{space 3} 19.86573
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.247504{col 26}{space 2} 6.274992{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.144{col 54}{space 4}-3.220771{col 67}{space 3} 21.71578
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.16681{col 26}{space 2} 6.799933{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.138{col 54}{space 4}-3.344516{col 67}{space 3} 23.67813
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 11.08611{col 26}{space 2} 7.369324{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-3.556579{col 67}{space 3}  25.7288
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.00541{col 26}{space 2} 7.973646{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-3.838051{col 67}{space 3} 27.84888
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*0 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.92472{col 26}{space 2} 8.605544{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.137{col 54}{space 4}-4.174317{col 67}{space 3} 30.02375
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 1: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED ABOVE MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] ********
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.663745{col 26}{space 2} 4.315345{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-3.910754{col 67}{space 3} 13.23824
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 12{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.228551{col 26}{space 2} 3.585247{col 37}{space 1}    0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.370{col 54}{space 4}-3.895259{col 67}{space 3} 10.35236
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 24{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.662884{col 26}{space 2} 3.091419{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.592{col 54}{space 4}-4.479699{col 67}{space 3} 7.805468
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 36{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0972176{col 26}{space 2} 3.063568{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.975{col 54}{space 4}-5.990026{col 67}{space 3} 6.184461
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 48{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.468449{col 26}{space 2} 3.512795{col 37}{space 1}   -0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.677{col 54}{space 4}-8.448297{col 67}{space 3} 5.511399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 60{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.034116{col 26}{space 2} 4.291819{col 37}{space 1}   -0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.481{col 54}{space 4}-11.56187{col 67}{space 3} 5.493637
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 72{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.599782{col 26}{space 2} 5.255987{col 37}{space 1}   -0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.384{col 54}{space 4}-15.04332{col 67}{space 3} 5.843752
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 84{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.165449{col 26}{space 2} 6.321138{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.332{col 54}{space 4}-18.72542{col 67}{space 3} 6.394518
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 96{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.731115{col 26}{space 2}  7.44405{col 37}{space 1}   -1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.302{col 54}{space 4}-22.52228{col 67}{space 3} 7.060053
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 108{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.296782{col 26}{space 2} 8.602132{col 37}{space 1}   -1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-26.38903{col 67}{space 3} 7.795471
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 120{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-10.86245{col 26}{space 2} 9.782902{col 37}{space 1}   -1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-30.30087{col 67}{space 3}  8.57597
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 132{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-12.42812{col 26}{space 2} 10.97904{col 37}{space 1}   -1.13{col 46}{space 3}0.261{col 54}{space 4}-34.24324{col 67}{space 3} 9.387009
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144 + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm*1 + picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann + aigrtermabovemedianaigrterm + 144{res}*{res}picrtermannabovemedianaigrterm = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-13.99378{col 26}{space 2} 12.18603{col 37}{space 1}   -1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.254{col 54}{space 4}-38.20716{col 67}{space 3}  10.2196
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** CREATE RELEVANT VARIABLES TO ASSESS ASYMMETRIC ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY & REPUTATION DEPRECIATION REPUTATION DEPRECIATON BASED ON EX-GOVERNORS' ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP BEING ABOVE [ABOVE RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE] VERSUS BELOW AVERAGE [BELOW RELEVANT MEDIAN AIG MEASURE]: LAST/RECENT YEAR MODELS  ******* 
. 
. 
. generate abovemedianaigryear = 1 if personalincomerecentyearann >=  2.03
{txt}(175 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. replace abovemedianaigryear = 0 if personalincomerecentyearann <   2.03
{txt}(175 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Year) ****
. generate aigryearabovemedianaigryear = personalincomerecentyear*abovemedianaigryear
{txt}
{com}. *
. ** Two-Way Interaction Between Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Year) ****
. generate eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear = eddurmonths2*abovemedianaigryear
{txt}
{com}. 
. ** Three-Way Interaction Between Average Income Growth (Tenure) * Election Delay * Above Median Average Income Growth (Last/Recent Year) ****
. generate picryearannabovemedianaigryear = picryearann*abovemedianaigryear
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11H: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigryear picryearann aigryearabovemedianaigryear eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear picryearannabovemedianaigryear  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.27473937
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.5104911

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.07097{col 46}{space 2} 2.852178{col 57}{space 1}    0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.470{col 74}{space 4}-3.589084{col 87}{space 3} 7.731024
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0328594{col 46}{space 2} .0510997{col 57}{space 1}    0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.522{col 74}{space 4}-.0685464{col 87}{space 3} .1342651
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.178848{col 46}{space 2} 11.36512{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.714{col 74}{space 4}-26.73255{col 87}{space 3} 18.37486
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0064514{col 46}{space 2} .0729179{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.930{col 74}{space 4}-.1382518{col 87}{space 3} .1511546
{txt}{space 5}aigryearabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  6.38396{col 46}{space 2} 14.72729{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.666{col 74}{space 4}-22.84186{col 87}{space 3} 35.60978
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0451218{col 46}{space 2} .1939046{col 57}{space 1}    0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.816{col 74}{space 4}-.3396756{col 87}{space 3} .4299192
{txt}{space 2}picryearannabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0522013{col 46}{space 2} .0778432{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.504{col 74}{space 4}-.2066786{col 87}{space 3}  .102276
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1399528{col 46}{space 2}  .303032{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.645{col 74}{space 4}-.4614045{col 87}{space 3}   .74131
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1878412{col 46}{space 2} .9688434{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.847{col 74}{space 4}-1.734797{col 87}{space 3} 2.110479
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.78361{col 46}{space 2} 5.060409{col 57}{space 1}   -3.32{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-26.82582{col 87}{space 3}-6.741388
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.565268{col 46}{space 2}  5.33077{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.631{col 74}{space 4}-8.013472{col 87}{space 3} 13.14401
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.33353{col 46}{space 2} 7.457001{col 57}{space 1}   -1.52{col 66}{space 3}0.132{col 74}{space 4}-26.13171{col 87}{space 3} 3.464647
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   -.0738{col 46}{space 2} 3.127298{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.981{col 74}{space 4}-6.279821{col 87}{space 3} 6.132221
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.260281{col 46}{space 2} 4.901321{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.387{col 74}{space 4}-13.98679{col 87}{space 3} 5.466232
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0851358{col 46}{space 2}  .207636{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.683{col 74}{space 4}-.3269111{col 87}{space 3} .4971827
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2699147{col 46}{space 2} .2001546{col 57}{space 1}    1.35{col 66}{space 3}0.181{col 74}{space 4}-.1272856{col 87}{space 3} .6671151
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 55.42374{col 46}{space 2} 19.87791{col 57}{space 1}    2.79{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 15.97667{col 87}{space 3}  94.8708
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 7.032
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.030
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook11h, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook11h if ryearfullresidsimrcook11h >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryea~11h {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.059487 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.953619 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.750367 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.793755 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.256087 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.391401 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.241018 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0    1.85237 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.011392 {txt}{c |}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.203405 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.298367 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.003282 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   3.799516 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0    1.30468 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11I: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigryear picryearann aigryearabovemedianaigryear eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear picryearannabovemedianaigryear  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook11h < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40590908
{txt}Number of obs = {res}101
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.810228

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6597212{col 46}{space 2} 4.498392{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.884{col 74}{space 4}-8.285825{col 87}{space 3} 9.605268
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0536748{col 46}{space 2} .0573756{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4}-.0604229{col 87}{space 3} .1677724
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.016559{col 46}{space 2} 13.71556{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.883{col 74}{space 4}-25.25833{col 87}{space 3} 29.29145
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0514597{col 46}{space 2} .1010348{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.612{col 74}{space 4}-.1494592{col 87}{space 3} .2523785
{txt}{space 5}aigryearabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.04959{col 46}{space 2} 22.17971{col 57}{space 1}    0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.588{col 74}{space 4} -32.0572{col 87}{space 3} 56.15639
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0115981{col 46}{space 2} .2174772{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4}-.4440753{col 87}{space 3} .4208792
{txt}{space 2}picryearannabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0897828{col 46}{space 2} .1116399{col 57}{space 1}   -0.80{col 66}{space 3}0.424{col 74}{space 4} -.311791{col 87}{space 3} .1322254
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0136129{col 46}{space 2} .3524364{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.969{col 74}{space 4}-.7144714{col 87}{space 3} .6872456
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .114209{col 46}{space 2} 1.366997{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.934{col 74}{space 4}-2.604215{col 87}{space 3} 2.832633
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.40777{col 46}{space 2} 4.681134{col 57}{space 1}   -3.29{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-24.71672{col 87}{space 3}-6.098825
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0590575{col 46}{space 2} 7.179127{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.993{col 74}{space 4}-14.21742{col 87}{space 3} 14.33554
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.243914{col 46}{space 2} 8.835294{col 57}{space 1}   -0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-25.81387{col 87}{space 3} 9.326037
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.108849{col 46}{space 2} 2.771526{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.690{col 74}{space 4}-6.620332{col 87}{space 3} 4.402633
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.058018{col 46}{space 2} 5.650292{col 57}{space 1}   -0.90{col 66}{space 3}0.373{col 74}{space 4}-16.29424{col 87}{space 3} 6.178207
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0074668{col 46}{space 2}  .242719{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.976{col 74}{space 4}-.4752067{col 87}{space 3} .4901402
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .329995{col 46}{space 2} .2460494{col 57}{space 1}    1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.183{col 74}{space 4}-.1593012{col 87}{space 3} .8192912
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 62.40824{col 46}{space 2} 21.67129{col 57}{space 1}    2.88{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}  19.3125{col 87}{space 3}  105.504
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.185
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.335
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11J: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigryear picryearann aigryearabovemedianaigryear eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear picryearannabovemedianaigryear  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.29920306
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.3585468

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.106633{col 46}{space 2} 2.796355{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.693{col 74}{space 4}-4.444833{col 87}{space 3} 6.658099
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0598441{col 46}{space 2}  .052388{col 57}{space 1}    1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.256{col 74}{space 4}-.0441591{col 87}{space 3} .1638473
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.493616{col 46}{space 2} 10.03105{col 57}{space 1}   -0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.585{col 74}{space 4}-25.40777{col 87}{space 3} 14.42054
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0394076{col 46}{space 2} .0752167{col 57}{space 1}    0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.602{col 74}{space 4}-.1099165{col 87}{space 3} .1887317
{txt}{space 5}aigryearabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 11.53224{col 46}{space 2} 13.77085{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.404{col 74}{space 4}-15.80635{col 87}{space 3} 38.87083
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0166875{col 46}{space 2}  .214665{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.938{col 74}{space 4}-.4094765{col 87}{space 3} .4428515
{txt}{space 2}picryearannabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0828225{col 46}{space 2} .0910344{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.365{col 74}{space 4}-.2635486{col 87}{space 3} .0979036
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0031534{col 46}{space 2} .3817522{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.993{col 74}{space 4}-.7610273{col 87}{space 3} .7547205
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4768766{col 46}{space 2} 1.015771{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.640{col 74}{space 4}-1.539684{col 87}{space 3} 2.493437
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.65435{col 46}{space 2} 4.709341{col 57}{space 1}   -3.11{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-24.00358{col 87}{space 3}-5.305126
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.061144{col 46}{space 2} 5.711723{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.378{col 74}{space 4} -6.27806{col 87}{space 3} 16.40035
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.536495{col 46}{space 2} 7.230764{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.241{col 74}{space 4}-22.89138{col 87}{space 3} 5.818386
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0406657{col 46}{space 2} 3.004434{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.989{col 74}{space 4} -5.92389{col 87}{space 3} 6.005221
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8203882{col 46}{space 2}  4.98786{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.870{col 74}{space 4}-9.081765{col 87}{space 3} 10.72254
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0561642{col 46}{space 2} .1997274{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.779{col 74}{space 4}-.3403448{col 87}{space 3} .4526732
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1685093{col 46}{space 2}  .234838{col 57}{space 1}    0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.475{col 74}{space 4}-.2977031{col 87}{space 3} .6347217
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 69.67339{col 46}{space 2} 93.93375{col 57}{space 1}    0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.460{col 74}{space 4}-116.8087{col 87}{space 3} 256.1555
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.75738{col 46}{space 2} 32.49015{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.505{col 74}{space 4}-86.25849{col 87}{space 3} 42.74372
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.009736{col 46}{space 2} 3.507278{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.568{col 74}{space 4}-4.953091{col 87}{space 3} 8.972564
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.83682{col 46}{space 2} 77.60251{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.889{col 74}{space 4}-164.8973{col 87}{space 3} 143.2236
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.544
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.008
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook11j, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook11j if ryearfullresidsimrcook11j >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryea~11j {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.815367 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.234112 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.007027 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.400726 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.393789 {txt}{c |}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.461228 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.027704 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.753959 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.316654 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-11K: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 abovemedianaigryear picryearann aigryearabovemedianaigryear eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear picryearannabovemedianaigryear  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook11j < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39822654
{txt}Number of obs = {res}106
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1800265

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.758102{col 46}{space 2} 5.089473{col 57}{space 1}    0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.589{col 74}{space 4}-7.359436{col 87}{space 3} 12.87564
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0830774{col 46}{space 2} .0529661{col 57}{space 1}    1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.120{col 74}{space 4}-.0222157{col 87}{space 3} .1883706
{txt}{space 13}abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.385631{col 46}{space 2} 10.79329{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.686{col 74}{space 4}-17.07072{col 87}{space 3} 25.84198
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0548793{col 46}{space 2} .1013125{col 57}{space 1}    0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.589{col 74}{space 4}-.1465232{col 87}{space 3} .2562818
{txt}{space 5}aigryearabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.028372{col 46}{space 2} 21.20453{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.961{col 74}{space 4}-41.12483{col 87}{space 3} 43.18158
{txt}{space 1}eddurmonths2abovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0349566{col 46}{space 2} .1655598{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.833{col 74}{space 4}-.3640787{col 87}{space 3} .2941655
{txt}{space 2}picryearannabovemedianaigryear {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0928799{col 46}{space 2} .1157636{col 57}{space 1}   -0.80{col 66}{space 3}0.425{col 74}{space 4}-.3230103{col 87}{space 3} .1372506
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3099743{col 46}{space 2} .4532692{col 57}{space 1}   -0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.496{col 74}{space 4}-1.211044{col 87}{space 3}  .591095
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3915012{col 46}{space 2} 1.205032{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.746{col 74}{space 4}-2.004023{col 87}{space 3} 2.787025
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.37496{col 46}{space 2} 6.406687{col 57}{space 1}   -1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.057{col 74}{space 4}-25.11103{col 87}{space 3} .3611154
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.902832{col 46}{space 2} 9.904725{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.488{col 74}{space 4}-12.78711{col 87}{space 3} 26.59277
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.065128{col 46}{space 2} 7.087378{col 57}{space 1}   -1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.258{col 74}{space 4}-22.15437{col 87}{space 3} 6.024113
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1707045{col 46}{space 2} 4.041174{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.966{col 74}{space 4}-8.204292{col 87}{space 3} 7.862883
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5598368{col 46}{space 2} 5.753453{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.923{col 74}{space 4}-11.99732{col 87}{space 3} 10.87765
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0576759{col 46}{space 2} .2056695{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.780{col 74}{space 4}-.3511815{col 87}{space 3} .4665333
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1725371{col 46}{space 2}  .303925{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.572{col 74}{space 4}-.4316458{col 87}{space 3} .7767199
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 89.30698{col 46}{space 2} 126.5878{col 57}{space 1}    0.71{col 66}{space 3}0.482{col 74}{space 4}-162.3412{col 87}{space 3} 340.9551
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.50797{col 46}{space 2} 43.27414{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.527{col 74}{space 4}-113.5341{col 87}{space 3} 58.51817
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.547325{col 46}{space 2} 4.569239{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-6.536021{col 87}{space 3} 11.63067
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.60019{col 46}{space 2} 105.0181{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.845{col 74}{space 4}-229.3694{col 87}{space 3}  188.169
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.014
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.082
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 0: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED BELOW MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] *********
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*1*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.812981{col 26}{space 2} 5.072825{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.581{col 54}{space 4}-7.271461{col 67}{space 3} 12.89742
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*12*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.416653{col 26}{space 2} 5.022685{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.498{col 54}{space 4}-6.568114{col 67}{space 3} 13.40142
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*24*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.075205{col 26}{space 2} 5.244816{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.439{col 54}{space 4}-6.351143{col 67}{space 3} 14.50155
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*36*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.733757{col 26}{space 2} 5.722317{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.410{col 54}{space 4}-6.641833{col 67}{space 3} 16.10935
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*48*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.392308{col 26}{space 2} 6.398267{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.402{col 54}{space 4}-7.327026{col 67}{space 3} 18.11164
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*60*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  6.05086{col 26}{space 2} 7.217121{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.404{col 54}{space 4}-8.296301{col 67}{space 3} 20.39802
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*72*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.709411{col 26}{space 2} 8.135843{col 37}{space 1}    0.82{col 46}{space 3}0.412{col 54}{space 4}-9.464108{col 67}{space 3} 22.88293
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*84*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.367963{col 26}{space 2} 9.124315{col 37}{space 1}    0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.422{col 54}{space 4}-10.77058{col 67}{space 3}  25.5065
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*96*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.026515{col 26}{space 2} 10.16221{col 37}{space 1}    0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.432{col 54}{space 4}-12.17528{col 67}{space 3} 28.22831
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*108*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.685066{col 26}{space 2} 11.23583{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-13.65102{col 67}{space 3} 31.02115
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*120*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.343618{col 26}{space 2} 12.33585{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.451{col 54}{space 4}-15.17925{col 67}{space 3} 33.86648
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*132*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.00217{col 26}{space 2} 13.45581{col 37}{space 1}    0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.459{col 54}{space 4} -16.7471{col 67}{space 3} 36.75144
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*0 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*144*0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.66072{col 26}{space 2} 14.59111{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.467{col 54}{space 4}-18.34545{col 67}{space 3} 39.66689
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [SETTING ABOVEMEDIANAIGTENURE = 1: EX-GOVERNOR'S TENURE REFLECTED ABOVE MEDIAN AVERAGE PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] *********
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*1*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.748473{col 26}{space 2} 16.81695{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.824{col 54}{space 4}-29.68251{col 67}{space 3} 37.17946
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*12*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 12{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.330467{col 26}{space 2}  16.7547{col 37}{space 1}    0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.843{col 54}{space 4}-29.97677{col 67}{space 3}  36.6377
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*24*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 24{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  2.87446{col 26}{space 2} 16.69993{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.864{col 54}{space 4} -30.3239{col 67}{space 3} 36.07282
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*36*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 36{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.418453{col 26}{space 2}   16.659{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.885{col 54}{space 4}-30.69855{col 67}{space 3} 35.53545
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*48*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 48{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.962446{col 26}{space 2} 16.63202{col 37}{space 1}    0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.906{col 54}{space 4}-31.10092{col 67}{space 3} 35.02581
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*60*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 60{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.506439{col 26}{space 2} 16.61905{col 37}{space 1}    0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.928{col 54}{space 4}-31.53115{col 67}{space 3} 34.54403
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*72*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 72{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.050432{col 26}{space 2} 16.62013{col 37}{space 1}    0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.950{col 54}{space 4} -31.9893{col 67}{space 3} 34.09017
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*84*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 84{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5944249{col 26}{space 2} 16.63526{col 37}{space 1}    0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.972{col 54}{space 4}-32.47537{col 67}{space 3} 33.66422
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*96*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 96{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1384179{col 26}{space 2} 16.66439{col 37}{space 1}    0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.993{col 54}{space 4}-32.98928{col 67}{space 3} 33.26612
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*108*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 108{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3175891{col 26}{space 2} 16.70745{col 37}{space 1}   -0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.985{col 54}{space 4}-33.53089{col 67}{space 3} 32.89571
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*120*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 120{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7735961{col 26}{space 2} 16.76433{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.963{col 54}{space 4}-34.09998{col 67}{space 3} 32.55279
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*132*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 132{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.229603{col 26}{space 2}  16.8349{col 37}{space 1}   -0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.942{col 54}{space 4}-34.69628{col 67}{space 3} 32.23707
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144 + aigryearabovemedianaigryear*1 +  picryearannabovemedianaigryear*144*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann + aigryearabovemedianaigryear + 144{res}*{res}picryearannabovemedianaigryear = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.68561{col 26}{space 2} 16.91898{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.921{col 54}{space 4}-35.31944{col 67}{space 3} 31.94822
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. 
. **** ROBUSTNESS CHECK # 3 *****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-12:    ESTIMATE STATISTICAL MODELS THAT ACCOUNT FOR MEASUREMENT ERROR BY ESTIMATING BOTH AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS & AIG'S INTERACTION WITH ELECTION DELAY WITH MEASUREMENT ERROR [I.E., RELIABILITY < 1.0]  ******* 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** TENURE-BASED EVALUATION MODELS *****
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12A      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincometenureann .9 pictenureann .9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~eann       0.9000                              F( 12,   102) ={res}    4.61
{txt}pictenureann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.3958
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res}  17.516

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 14.71294{col 46}{space 2} 5.014685{col 57}{space 1}    2.93{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4}  4.76634{col 87}{space 3} 24.65955
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3104853{col 46}{space 2} .1481013{col 57}{space 1}    2.10{col 66}{space 3}0.039{col 74}{space 4}  .016727{col 87}{space 3} .6042436
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2134358{col 46}{space 2} .0885231{col 57}{space 1}   -2.41{col 66}{space 3}0.018{col 74}{space 4}-.3890209{col 87}{space 3}-.0378506
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2749077{col 46}{space 2} .2396928{col 57}{space 1}    1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.254{col 74}{space 4}-.2005218{col 87}{space 3} .7503371
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9228933{col 46}{space 2} .9343531{col 57}{space 1}   -0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.326{col 74}{space 4}-2.776178{col 87}{space 3} .9303917
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.29422{col 46}{space 2} 3.331952{col 57}{space 1}   -4.89{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-22.90313{col 87}{space 3}-9.685311
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.211527{col 46}{space 2} 4.590466{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.486{col 74}{space 4}-5.893639{col 87}{space 3} 12.31669
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.498129{col 46}{space 2} 9.568032{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.959{col 74}{space 4}-19.47628{col 87}{space 3} 18.48002
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.278654{col 46}{space 2} 2.557412{col 57}{space 1}   -0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.375{col 74}{space 4}-7.351269{col 87}{space 3} 2.793961
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.556492{col 46}{space 2} 3.925793{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.367{col 74}{space 4}-11.34328{col 87}{space 3}   4.2303
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1515569{col 46}{space 2} .2592028{col 57}{space 1}   -0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.560{col 74}{space 4}-.6656844{col 87}{space 3} .3625706
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1479508{col 46}{space 2} .1758931{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.402{col 74}{space 4}-.2009323{col 87}{space 3} .4968339
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 27.35426{col 46}{space 2} 14.43494{col 57}{space 1}    1.90{col 66}{space 3}0.061{col 74}{space 4}-1.277377{col 87}{space 3}  55.9859
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12B    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1a < 1,  r(personalincometenureann .9 pictenureann .9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}      93
{txt}persona~eann       0.9000                              F( 12,    80) ={res}   18.60
{txt}pictenureann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.7821
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res}  8.4219

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 16.58019{col 46}{space 2} 2.465212{col 57}{space 1}    6.73{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 11.67426{col 87}{space 3} 21.48612
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4384963{col 46}{space 2} .0757131{col 57}{space 1}    5.79{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .2878224{col 87}{space 3} .5891702
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2670611{col 46}{space 2} .0449052{col 57}{space 1}   -5.95{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.3564253{col 87}{space 3}-.1776968
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0056259{col 46}{space 2} .1392631{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.968{col 74}{space 4}-.2827683{col 87}{space 3} .2715164
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1726588{col 46}{space 2} .4619225{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.710{col 74}{space 4}-1.091914{col 87}{space 3} .7465963
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.86628{col 46}{space 2} 1.801189{col 57}{space 1}  -11.58{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.45076{col 87}{space 3}-17.28179
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.98564{col 46}{space 2} 2.489844{col 57}{space 1}   -1.60{col 66}{space 3}0.113{col 74}{space 4}-8.940587{col 87}{space 3} .9693065
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.62266{col 46}{space 2} 5.541749{col 57}{space 1}    2.46{col 66}{space 3}0.016{col 74}{space 4} 2.594225{col 87}{space 3} 24.65109
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.402206{col 46}{space 2} 1.390845{col 57}{space 1}   -3.17{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-7.170075{col 87}{space 3}-1.634337
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.902168{col 46}{space 2} 2.061313{col 57}{space 1}   -4.80{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-14.00431{col 87}{space 3}-5.800025
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5894757{col 46}{space 2} .1385808{col 57}{space 1}   -4.25{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.8652602{col 87}{space 3}-.3136911
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3250938{col 46}{space 2}  .093073{col 57}{space 1}    3.49{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} .1398727{col 87}{space 3} .5103149
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 52.83537{col 46}{space 2} 8.096272{col 57}{space 1}    6.53{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 36.72327{col 87}{space 3} 68.94746
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12C      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincometenureann .9 pictenureann .9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~eann       0.9000                              F( 15,    99) ={res}    5.11
{txt}pictenureann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.5224
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 15.8081

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 21.82108{col 46}{space 2} 6.328289{col 57}{space 1}    3.45{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 9.264377{col 87}{space 3} 34.37777
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6634945{col 46}{space 2} .2209129{col 57}{space 1}    3.00{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} .2251554{col 87}{space 3} 1.101834
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.406508{col 46}{space 2} .1257021{col 57}{space 1}   -3.23{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-.6559283{col 87}{space 3}-.1570877
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4523567{col 46}{space 2} .3302443{col 57}{space 1}   -1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.174{col 74}{space 4}-1.107633{col 87}{space 3} .2029196
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2887705{col 46}{space 2} .8425724{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-1.960617{col 87}{space 3} 1.383076
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -15.678{col 46}{space 2}  3.01494{col 57}{space 1}   -5.20{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -21.6603{col 87}{space 3}-9.695708
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6588815{col 46}{space 2} 4.576909{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.886{col 74}{space 4}-8.422698{col 87}{space 3} 9.740461
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 15.53829{col 46}{space 2} 11.16192{col 57}{space 1}    1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.167{col 74}{space 4}-6.609383{col 87}{space 3} 37.68597
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.370631{col 46}{space 2} 2.800247{col 57}{space 1}   -2.28{col 66}{space 3}0.025{col 74}{space 4}-11.92693{col 87}{space 3}-.8143326
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.328129{col 46}{space 2} 3.680322{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.242{col 74}{space 4}-11.63069{col 87}{space 3} 2.974427
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4558771{col 46}{space 2} .2777321{col 57}{space 1}   -1.64{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4}-1.006958{col 87}{space 3} .0952036
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0003892{col 46}{space 2} .1636325{col 57}{space 1}   -0.00{col 66}{space 3}0.998{col 74}{space 4}-.3250715{col 87}{space 3} .3242932
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 367.9161{col 46}{space 2} 122.2443{col 57}{space 1}    3.01{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 125.3568{col 87}{space 3} 610.4754
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-121.8786{col 46}{space 2} 40.23409{col 57}{space 1}   -3.03{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-201.7118{col 87}{space 3}-42.04545
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.47628{col 46}{space 2} 4.179239{col 57}{space 1}    2.99{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4} 4.183762{col 87}{space 3}  20.7688
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-285.9629{col 46}{space 2} 111.1229{col 57}{space 1}   -2.57{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4}-506.4549{col 87}{space 3}-65.47093
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12D    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1c < 1,  r(personalincometenureann .9 pictenureann .9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     109
{txt}persona~eann       0.9000                              F( 15,    93) ={res}    6.38
{txt}pictenureann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.6063
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 12.8463

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 20.93815{col 46}{space 2} 5.101264{col 57}{space 1}    4.10{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 10.80805{col 87}{space 3} 31.06825
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6803399{col 46}{space 2} .1756944{col 57}{space 1}    3.87{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .3314457{col 87}{space 3} 1.029234
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4088113{col 46}{space 2} .1001134{col 57}{space 1}   -4.08{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.6076167{col 87}{space 3}-.2100059
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8472761{col 46}{space 2} .2743692{col 57}{space 1}   -3.09{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-1.392119{col 87}{space 3}-.3024333
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.028753{col 46}{space 2} .7108162{col 57}{space 1}    1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.151{col 74}{space 4}-.3827871{col 87}{space 3} 2.440293
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -13.5081{col 46}{space 2} 2.511877{col 57}{space 1}   -5.38{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-18.49619{col 87}{space 3}-8.520013
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.456447{col 46}{space 2} 3.775096{col 57}{space 1}    0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.701{col 74}{space 4}-6.040145{col 87}{space 3}  8.95304
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 17.30656{col 46}{space 2} 9.042439{col 57}{space 1}    1.91{col 66}{space 3}0.059{col 74}{space 4}-.6499361{col 87}{space 3} 35.26305
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.360428{col 46}{space 2}  2.30012{col 57}{space 1}   -3.20{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-11.92801{col 87}{space 3}-2.792845
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.132481{col 46}{space 2} 3.072911{col 57}{space 1}   -2.32{col 66}{space 3}0.022{col 74}{space 4}-13.23467{col 87}{space 3}-1.030288
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4885562{col 46}{space 2} .2247347{col 57}{space 1}   -2.17{col 66}{space 3}0.032{col 74}{space 4}-.9348348{col 87}{space 3}-.0422776
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0167421{col 46}{space 2}  .135017{col 57}{space 1}   -0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.902{col 74}{space 4}-.2848591{col 87}{space 3} .2513749
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 382.2302{col 46}{space 2}  99.6585{col 57}{space 1}    3.84{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 184.3282{col 87}{space 3} 580.1322
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-124.0884{col 46}{space 2} 32.78845{col 57}{space 1}   -3.78{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-189.1998{col 87}{space 3}-58.97705
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.46566{col 46}{space 2} 3.404639{col 57}{space 1}    3.66{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 5.704719{col 87}{space 3}  19.2266
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-285.0929{col 46}{space 2} 90.73795{col 57}{space 1}   -3.14{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-465.2805{col 87}{space 3}-104.9053
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 20.52934{col 26}{space 2} 5.005545{col 37}{space 1}    4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 10.58932{col 67}{space 3} 30.46936
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.03242{col 26}{space 2}  3.96699{col 37}{space 1}    4.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.154759{col 67}{space 3} 23.91007
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 11.12668{col 26}{space 2} 2.887501{col 37}{space 1}    3.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 5.392674{col 67}{space 3} 16.86069
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.220944{col 26}{space 2} 1.955724{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 2.337265{col 67}{space 3} 10.10462
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.315209{col 26}{space 2} 1.482761{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.377{col 54}{space 4}-1.629261{col 67}{space 3} 4.259679
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.590527{col 26}{space 2} 1.859797{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-7.283714{col 67}{space 3} .1026607
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.496262{col 26}{space 2} 2.757833{col 37}{space 1}   -3.08{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-13.97277{col 67}{space 3}-3.019753
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -13.402{col 26}{space 2} 3.826092{col 37}{space 1}   -3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-20.99986{col 67}{space 3}-5.804138
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-18.30773{col 26}{space 2} 4.955688{col 37}{space 1}   -3.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-28.14875{col 67}{space 3}-8.466719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-23.21347{col 26}{space 2} 6.112713{col 37}{space 1}   -3.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -35.3521{col 67}{space 3}-11.07483
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -28.1192{col 26}{space 2} 7.284106{col 37}{space 1}   -3.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  -42.584{col 67}{space 3}-13.65441
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-33.02494{col 26}{space 2} 8.463904{col 37}{space 1}   -3.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-49.83258{col 67}{space 3} -16.2173
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-37.93068{col 26}{space 2} 9.649025{col 37}{space 1}   -3.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-57.09173{col 67}{space 3}-18.76962
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** LAST TERM-BASED EVALUATION MODELS *****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12E      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincomerecenttermann 0.9  picrtermann 0.9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~mann       0.9000                              F( 12,   102) ={res}    3.69
 {txt}picrtermann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0001
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.3069
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 18.7611

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.818406{col 46}{space 2} 8.283234{col 57}{space 1}    0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.562{col 74}{space 4}-11.61135{col 87}{space 3} 21.24816
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0364678{col 46}{space 2} .2746563{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.895{col 74}{space 4}-.5083116{col 87}{space 3} .5812472
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0305129{col 46}{space 2} .1227784{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.804{col 74}{space 4}-.2740433{col 87}{space 3} .2130174
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2194604{col 46}{space 2} .4989228{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.661{col 74}{space 4}-.7701506{col 87}{space 3} 1.209071
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6938921{col 46}{space 2} 1.311639{col 57}{space 1}   -0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.598{col 74}{space 4}-3.295522{col 87}{space 3} 1.907738
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.59974{col 46}{space 2} 3.632938{col 57}{space 1}   -4.57{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.80566{col 87}{space 3}-9.393829
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.302665{col 46}{space 2} 5.512209{col 57}{space 1}    1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.256{col 74}{space 4}-4.630776{col 87}{space 3}  17.2361
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.88201{col 46}{space 2}  11.4274{col 57}{space 1}   -1.30{col 66}{space 3}0.196{col 74}{space 4}-37.54821{col 87}{space 3} 7.784194
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5611173{col 46}{space 2}  2.59844{col 57}{space 1}    0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.829{col 74}{space 4}-4.592877{col 87}{space 3} 5.715111
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.804967{col 46}{space 2} 5.915046{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.761{col 74}{space 4}-13.53743{col 87}{space 3} 9.927498
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0527098{col 46}{space 2}  .322253{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.870{col 74}{space 4}-.5864775{col 87}{space 3} .6918971
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2536246{col 46}{space 2} .2381621{col 57}{space 1}    1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.289{col 74}{space 4}-.2187687{col 87}{space 3}  .726018
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 43.78776{col 46}{space 2} 20.61007{col 57}{space 1}    2.12{col 66}{space 3}0.036{col 74}{space 4} 2.907776{col 87}{space 3} 84.66773
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12F    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2a < 1, r(personalincomerecenttermann 0.9  picrtermann 0.9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}persona~mann       0.9000                              F( 12,    85) ={res}    4.96
 {txt}picrtermann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.4775
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 12.2726

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.80666{col 46}{space 2} 6.189246{col 57}{space 1}    2.23{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4} 1.500775{col 87}{space 3} 26.11253
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3687773{col 46}{space 2} .1997957{col 57}{space 1}    1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}-.0284702{col 87}{space 3} .7660247
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1709212{col 46}{space 2} .0883767{col 57}{space 1}   -1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.056{col 74}{space 4}-.3466377{col 87}{space 3} .0047952
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7226156{col 46}{space 2} .3981636{col 57}{space 1}   -1.81{col 66}{space 3}0.073{col 74}{space 4}-1.514271{col 87}{space 3} .0690403
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1971191{col 46}{space 2} .8453582{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.816{col 74}{space 4}-1.877918{col 87}{space 3}  1.48368
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -12.705{col 46}{space 2}  2.64438{col 57}{space 1}   -4.80{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-17.96274{col 87}{space 3}-7.447265
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.511568{col 46}{space 2} 4.186826{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.550{col 74}{space 4} -10.8361{col 87}{space 3} 5.812964
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.062664{col 46}{space 2}  8.72461{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.814{col 74}{space 4} -15.2842{col 87}{space 3} 19.40953
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2304852{col 46}{space 2} 1.775794{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.897{col 74}{space 4} -3.76124{col 87}{space 3}  3.30027
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.332128{col 46}{space 2} 3.784472{col 57}{space 1}   -1.94{col 66}{space 3}0.056{col 74}{space 4}-14.85667{col 87}{space 3} .1924164
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3103823{col 46}{space 2} .2288632{col 57}{space 1}   -1.36{col 66}{space 3}0.179{col 74}{space 4}-.7654237{col 87}{space 3} .1446591
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4509921{col 46}{space 2} .1646188{col 57}{space 1}    2.74{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} .1236858{col 87}{space 3} .7782985
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 85.93101{col 46}{space 2} 15.83106{col 57}{space 1}    5.43{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 54.45462{col 87}{space 3} 117.4074
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12G      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincomerecenttermann 0.9  picrtermann 0.9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~mann       0.9000                              F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.17
 {txt}picrtermann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0003
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.3270
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 18.7647

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.879008{col 46}{space 2} 8.958822{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.666{col 74}{space 4}-13.89724{col 87}{space 3} 21.65525
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0276884{col 46}{space 2}  .313374{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.930{col 74}{space 4}-.5941137{col 87}{space 3} .6494904
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0300146{col 46}{space 2} .1358898{col 57}{space 1}   -0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.826{col 74}{space 4}-.2996494{col 87}{space 3} .2396202
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1583364{col 46}{space 2} .6067051{col 57}{space 1}    0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.795{col 74}{space 4}-1.045498{col 87}{space 3} 1.362171
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5778083{col 46}{space 2} 1.243588{col 57}{space 1}   -0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.643{col 74}{space 4}-3.045357{col 87}{space 3}  1.88974
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.44676{col 46}{space 2} 3.699587{col 57}{space 1}   -4.45{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.78755{col 87}{space 3} -9.10598
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.680446{col 46}{space 2} 6.075353{col 57}{space 1}    1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.274{col 74}{space 4}-5.374372{col 87}{space 3} 18.73526
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.53846{col 46}{space 2} 12.44036{col 57}{space 1}   -1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.316{col 74}{space 4}-37.22284{col 87}{space 3} 12.14592
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2685718{col 46}{space 2} 2.720454{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.922{col 74}{space 4}-5.666543{col 87}{space 3}   5.1294
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7704071{col 46}{space 2} 6.146682{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.901{col 74}{space 4}-12.96676{col 87}{space 3} 11.42594
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0584233{col 46}{space 2} .3441401{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.866{col 74}{space 4}-.6244253{col 87}{space 3} .7412719
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .165922{col 46}{space 2} .2494315{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.507{col 74}{space 4}-.3290043{col 87}{space 3} .6608482
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 24.23745{col 46}{space 2} 96.10698{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.801{col 74}{space 4}-166.4597{col 87}{space 3} 214.9345
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.745692{col 46}{space 2} 31.89829{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.761{col 74}{space 4}-73.03881{col 87}{space 3} 53.54743
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.032104{col 46}{space 2} 3.376897{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.761{col 74}{space 4}-5.668392{col 87}{space 3} 7.732599
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 33.76485{col 46}{space 2} 81.31206{col 57}{space 1}    0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.679{col 74}{space 4}-127.5759{col 87}{space 3} 195.1056
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12H    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2c < 1, r(personalincomerecenttermann 0.9  picrtermann 0.9)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     108
{txt}persona~mann       0.9000                              F( 15,    92) ={res}    3.08
 {txt}picrtermann       0.9000                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0005
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.3441
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 16.2304

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  6.04772{col 46}{space 2}  7.65657{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.432{col 74}{space 4} -9.15889{col 87}{space 3} 21.25433
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1449975{col 46}{space 2} .2665651{col 57}{space 1}    0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.588{col 74}{space 4}-.3844239{col 87}{space 3} .6744188
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0728599{col 46}{space 2} .1150759{col 57}{space 1}   -0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.528{col 74}{space 4}-.3014104{col 87}{space 3} .1556907
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4474453{col 46}{space 2} .5466145{col 57}{space 1}   -0.82{col 66}{space 3}0.415{col 74}{space 4}-1.533069{col 87}{space 3} .6381782
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6047217{col 46}{space 2} 1.062132{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.571{col 74}{space 4}-1.504764{col 87}{space 3} 2.714207
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.65454{col 46}{space 2}  3.32358{col 57}{space 1}   -3.81{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.25545{col 87}{space 3}-6.053619
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.960215{col 46}{space 2}  5.34699{col 57}{space 1}    1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.268{col 74}{space 4}-4.659369{col 87}{space 3}  16.5798
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.483827{col 46}{space 2} 10.84215{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.551{col 74}{space 4}-28.01728{col 87}{space 3} 15.04962
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -1.43901{col 46}{space 2} 2.380659{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.547{col 74}{space 4}-6.167206{col 87}{space 3} 3.289185
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.868802{col 46}{space 2} 5.184115{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.457{col 74}{space 4} -14.1649{col 87}{space 3} 6.427299
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0383832{col 46}{space 2}  .295314{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.897{col 74}{space 4}-.6249024{col 87}{space 3} .5481359
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1937005{col 46}{space 2} .2146269{col 57}{space 1}    0.90{col 66}{space 3}0.369{col 74}{space 4}-.2325671{col 87}{space 3} .6199681
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 51.17623{col 46}{space 2} 83.87737{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.543{col 74}{space 4}-115.4115{col 87}{space 3} 217.7639
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.82762{col 46}{space 2} 27.77662{col 57}{space 1}   -0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.570{col 74}{space 4}-70.99438{col 87}{space 3} 39.33914
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.399678{col 46}{space 2} 2.935406{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.635{col 74}{space 4}-4.430291{col 87}{space 3} 7.229647
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 27.35802{col 46}{space 2}  70.7151{col 57}{space 1}    0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.700{col 74}{space 4}-113.0883{col 87}{space 3} 167.8043
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  5.97486{col 26}{space 2} 7.543355{col 37}{space 1}    0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.430{col 54}{space 4}-9.006894{col 67}{space 3} 20.95661
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.173401{col 26}{space 2} 6.302435{col 37}{space 1}    0.82{col 46}{space 3}0.414{col 54}{space 4}-7.343779{col 67}{space 3} 17.69058
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.299083{col 26}{space 2} 4.963078{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.389{col 54}{space 4}-5.558018{col 67}{space 3} 14.15618
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.424765{col 26}{space 2}  3.65478{col 37}{space 1}    0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.351{col 54}{space 4}-3.833944{col 67}{space 3} 10.68347
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.550447{col 26}{space 2} 2.428275{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.296{col 54}{space 4}-2.272317{col 67}{space 3}  7.37321
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.676128{col 26}{space 2} 1.499816{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.267{col 54}{space 4}-1.302636{col 67}{space 3} 4.654892
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8018099{col 26}{space 2} 1.554414{col 37}{space 1}    0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.607{col 54}{space 4} -2.28539{col 67}{space 3}  3.88901
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0725084{col 26}{space 2} 2.529186{col 37}{space 1}   -0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.977{col 54}{space 4}-5.095691{col 67}{space 3} 4.950674
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9468267{col 26}{space 2}  3.76712{col 37}{space 1}   -0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.802{col 54}{space 4}-8.428651{col 67}{space 3} 6.534998
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.821145{col 26}{space 2} 5.079313{col 37}{space 1}   -0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.721{col 54}{space 4} -11.9091{col 67}{space 3}  8.26681
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.695463{col 26}{space 2} 6.420396{col 37}{space 1}   -0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.676{col 54}{space 4}-15.44692{col 67}{space 3}   10.056
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.569782{col 26}{space 2} 7.775434{col 37}{space 1}   -0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.647{col 54}{space 4}-19.01246{col 67}{space 3}  11.8729
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -4.4441{col 26}{space 2} 9.138221{col 37}{space 1}   -0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.628{col 54}{space 4} -22.5934{col 67}{space 3}  13.7052
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MOST RECENT [FINAL] YEAR-BASED EVALUATION MODELS *****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12I      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincomerecentyearann 0.85  picryearann 0.85)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~rann       0.8500                              F( 12,   102) ={res}    4.43
 {txt}picryearann       0.8500                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.4079
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 17.3396

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  12.2464{col 46}{space 2} 4.977938{col 57}{space 1}    2.46{col 66}{space 3}0.016{col 74}{space 4}  2.37268{col 87}{space 3} 22.12011
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1841408{col 46}{space 2} .1023532{col 57}{space 1}    1.80{col 66}{space 3}0.075{col 74}{space 4}-.0188763{col 87}{space 3} .3871579
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1327635{col 46}{space 2} .0575716{col 57}{space 1}   -2.31{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4}-.2469564{col 87}{space 3}-.0185705
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3111184{col 46}{space 2}  .233372{col 57}{space 1}    1.33{col 66}{space 3}0.185{col 74}{space 4}-.1517738{col 87}{space 3} .7740106
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.237435{col 46}{space 2}  1.94803{col 57}{space 1}   -2.18{col 66}{space 3}0.032{col 74}{space 4}-8.101343{col 87}{space 3}-.3735271
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.72722{col 46}{space 2} 3.600026{col 57}{space 1}   -5.48{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-26.86786{col 87}{space 3}-12.58659
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.391206{col 46}{space 2} 4.302598{col 57}{space 1}    1.49{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-2.142976{col 87}{space 3} 14.92539
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.84158{col 46}{space 2} 7.630323{col 57}{space 1}   -1.81{col 66}{space 3}0.073{col 74}{space 4}-28.97628{col 87}{space 3} 1.293133
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9238987{col 46}{space 2} 2.408976{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.702{col 74}{space 4}-3.854294{col 87}{space 3} 5.702092
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.634603{col 46}{space 2} 3.665014{col 57}{space 1}   -0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.657{col 74}{space 4}-8.904141{col 87}{space 3} 5.634935
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0671878{col 46}{space 2}  .248622{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.788{col 74}{space 4}-.5603282{col 87}{space 3} .4259527
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2817426{col 46}{space 2} .1841771{col 57}{space 1}    1.53{col 66}{space 3}0.129{col 74}{space 4}-.0835719{col 87}{space 3}  .647057
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 34.13832{col 46}{space 2}   13.908{col 57}{space 1}    2.45{col 66}{space 3}0.016{col 74}{space 4} 6.551866{col 87}{space 3} 61.72478
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12J    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3a < 1, r(personalincomerecentyearann 0.85  picryearann 0.85)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}persona~rann       0.8500                              F( 12,    85) ={res}   10.56
 {txt}picryearann       0.8500                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.6968
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 9.76592

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 16.04227{col 46}{space 2} 3.465578{col 57}{space 1}    4.63{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 9.151777{col 87}{space 3} 22.93277
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2618341{col 46}{space 2} .0648338{col 57}{space 1}    4.04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .1329271{col 87}{space 3} .3907411
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1590143{col 46}{space 2} .0355024{col 57}{space 1}   -4.48{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.2296025{col 87}{space 3}-.0884261
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0985937{col 46}{space 2}  .153958{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.524{col 74}{space 4}-.4047034{col 87}{space 3}  .207516
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.676878{col 46}{space 2} 1.341134{col 57}{space 1}   -3.49{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-7.343413{col 87}{space 3}-2.010344
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.49527{col 46}{space 2} 2.242638{col 57}{space 1}   -8.25{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-22.95424{col 87}{space 3}-14.03631
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2294114{col 46}{space 2} 2.713087{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.933{col 74}{space 4}-5.623755{col 87}{space 3} 5.164932
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.130082{col 46}{space 2} 4.553602{col 57}{space 1}   -1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.121{col 74}{space 4}-16.18386{col 87}{space 3} 1.923699
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0760928{col 46}{space 2} 1.377093{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.956{col 74}{space 4}-2.814122{col 87}{space 3} 2.661937
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.034513{col 46}{space 2}  2.23521{col 57}{space 1}   -2.70{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4}-10.47871{col 87}{space 3}-1.590317
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3052224{col 46}{space 2} .1477574{col 57}{space 1}   -2.07{col 66}{space 3}0.042{col 74}{space 4}-.5990038{col 87}{space 3} -.011441
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6050785{col 46}{space 2} .1205881{col 57}{space 1}    5.02{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .365317{col 87}{space 3}   .84484
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 59.09629{col 46}{space 2} 8.982544{col 57}{space 1}    6.58{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 41.23658{col 87}{space 3} 76.95599
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12K      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, r(personalincomerecentyearann 0.85  picryearann 0.85)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}persona~rann       0.8500                              F( 15,    99) ={res}    4.03
 {txt}picryearann       0.8500                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.4451
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 17.0392

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.82115{col 46}{space 2} 6.395742{col 57}{space 1}    2.16{col 66}{space 3}0.033{col 74}{space 4} 1.130611{col 87}{space 3} 26.51169
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .253614{col 46}{space 2} .1422149{col 57}{space 1}    1.78{col 66}{space 3}0.078{col 74}{space 4}-.0285712{col 87}{space 3} .5357992
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1601118{col 46}{space 2}  .074212{col 57}{space 1}   -2.16{col 66}{space 3}0.033{col 74}{space 4}-.3073644{col 87}{space 3}-.0128591
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0645941{col 46}{space 2} .2661534{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.809{col 74}{space 4} -.463512{col 87}{space 3} .5927003
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.202731{col 46}{space 2} 2.150351{col 57}{space 1}   -1.95{col 66}{space 3}0.053{col 74}{space 4}-8.469494{col 87}{space 3} .0640317
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.69437{col 46}{space 2} 3.634652{col 57}{space 1}   -5.42{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -26.9063{col 87}{space 3}-12.48243
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.256047{col 46}{space 2} 4.421353{col 57}{space 1}    1.41{col 66}{space 3}0.160{col 74}{space 4}-2.516877{col 87}{space 3} 15.02897
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.91735{col 46}{space 2} 7.545773{col 57}{space 1}   -1.71{col 66}{space 3}0.090{col 74}{space 4} -27.8898{col 87}{space 3} 2.055105
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7269058{col 46}{space 2} 2.458388{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.768{col 74}{space 4} -4.15107{col 87}{space 3} 5.604882
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.103456{col 46}{space 2} 3.683412{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.765{col 74}{space 4}-8.412145{col 87}{space 3} 6.205233
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1278674{col 46}{space 2} .2588402{col 57}{space 1}   -0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.622{col 74}{space 4}-.6414624{col 87}{space 3} .3857277
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2549241{col 46}{space 2} .1972356{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.199{col 74}{space 4}-.1364342{col 87}{space 3} .6462824
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 194.5278{col 46}{space 2} 100.6124{col 57}{space 1}    1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.056{col 74}{space 4}-5.109047{col 87}{space 3} 394.1646
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-65.11032{col 46}{space 2} 33.24773{col 57}{space 1}   -1.96{col 66}{space 3}0.053{col 74}{space 4} -131.081{col 87}{space 3} .8603939
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.832342{col 46}{space 2} 3.544885{col 57}{space 1}    1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.057{col 74}{space 4}-.2014792{col 87}{space 3} 13.86616
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-137.2351{col 46}{space 2} 96.32006{col 57}{space 1}   -1.42{col 66}{space 3}0.157{col 74}{space 4} -328.355{col 87}{space 3}  53.8848
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-12L    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. eivreg electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3c < 1, r(personalincomerecentyearann 0.85  picryearann 0.85)
{res}
                   {txt}assumed                      Errors-in-variables regression
    variable     reliability
{hline 28}{col 56}Number of obs ={res}     103
{txt}persona~rann       0.8500                              F( 15,    87) ={res}    9.63
 {txt}picryearann       0.8500                              Prob > F      ={res}  0.0000
           {txt}*       1.0000                              R-squared     ={res}  0.7534
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      ={res} 9.42658

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 20.05202{col 46}{space 2} 3.527126{col 57}{space 1}    5.69{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 13.04147{col 87}{space 3} 27.06256
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3996656{col 46}{space 2} .0784026{col 57}{space 1}    5.10{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .243832{col 87}{space 3} .5554992
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2193242{col 46}{space 2} .0400573{col 57}{space 1}   -5.48{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.2989424{col 87}{space 3} -.139706
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3765518{col 46}{space 2} .1631582{col 57}{space 1}   -2.31{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4}-.7008464{col 87}{space 3}-.0522572
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.213343{col 46}{space 2} 1.151687{col 57}{space 1}   -4.53{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-7.502445{col 87}{space 3} -2.92424
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.27038{col 46}{space 2} 2.045249{col 57}{space 1}   -7.47{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.33553{col 87}{space 3}-11.20522
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.374532{col 46}{space 2}  2.52671{col 57}{space 1}    1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.185{col 74}{space 4}-1.647576{col 87}{space 3} 8.396641
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -10.273{col 46}{space 2} 4.225419{col 57}{space 1}   -2.43{col 66}{space 3}0.017{col 74}{space 4}-18.67147{col 87}{space 3} -1.87452
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.15465{col 46}{space 2} 1.353642{col 57}{space 1}    0.85{col 66}{space 3}0.396{col 74}{space 4} -1.53586{col 87}{space 3} 3.845159
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.523922{col 46}{space 2} 2.166314{col 57}{space 1}   -1.63{col 66}{space 3}0.107{col 74}{space 4}-7.829705{col 87}{space 3} .7818619
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2642536{col 46}{space 2} .1436515{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.069{col 74}{space 4}-.5497765{col 87}{space 3} .0212694
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4356999{col 46}{space 2} .1130337{col 57}{space 1}    3.85{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .2110332{col 87}{space 3} .6603666
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 286.7163{col 46}{space 2} 57.53743{col 57}{space 1}    4.98{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 172.3544{col 87}{space 3} 401.0782
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -94.2714{col 46}{space 2} 19.06585{col 57}{space 1}   -4.94{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-132.1668{col 87}{space 3}-56.37597
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 9.802917{col 46}{space 2} 2.034764{col 57}{space 1}    4.82{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 5.758603{col 87}{space 3} 13.84723
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-215.9353{col 46}{space 2} 54.57413{col 57}{space 1}   -3.96{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-324.4073{col 87}{space 3}-107.4633
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 19.83269{col 26}{space 2} 3.487752{col 37}{space 1}    5.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 12.90041{col 67}{space 3} 26.76498
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 17.42013{col 26}{space 2} 3.055798{col 37}{space 1}    5.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  11.3464{col 67}{space 3} 23.49386
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 14.78824{col 26}{space 2} 2.587915{col 37}{space 1}    5.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.644473{col 67}{space 3}   19.932
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.15634{col 26}{space 2} 2.125754{col 37}{space 1}    5.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 7.931178{col 67}{space 3} 16.38151
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.524454{col 26}{space 2}  1.67406{col 37}{space 1}    5.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 6.197079{col 67}{space 3} 12.85183
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.892564{col 26}{space 2} 1.244285{col 37}{space 1}    5.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.419413{col 67}{space 3} 9.365715
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.260674{col 26}{space 2} .8695594{col 37}{space 1}    4.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  2.53233{col 67}{space 3} 5.989017
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.628783{col 26}{space 2} .6527969{col 37}{space 1}    2.50{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .3312787{col 67}{space 3} 2.926288
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.003107{col 26}{space 2} .7471783{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-2.488205{col 67}{space 3} .4819906
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.634998{col 26}{space 2} 1.073559{col 37}{space 1}   -3.39{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-5.768812{col 67}{space 3}-1.501183
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.266888{col 26}{space 2} 1.486238{col 37}{space 1}   -4.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-9.220947{col 67}{space 3}-3.312829
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.898778{col 26}{space 2} 1.930647{col 37}{space 1}   -4.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-12.73615{col 67}{space 3}-5.061408
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-11.53067{col 26}{space 2} 2.389145{col 37}{space 1}   -4.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-16.27935{col 67}{space 3}-6.781983
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** ROBUSTNESS CHECK # 4 *****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***** TABLE SI-13:  AGGREGATE MODELS ESTIMATED USING OLS [CF. MODELS 1A-1D, 2A-2D, & 3A-3D] & CORRESPONDING POST-ESTIMATION MODEL DIAGNOSTICS [RESIDUAL SKEWNESS & KURTOSIS TESTS & RAMSEY RESET TEST FOR FUNCTIONAL FORM] *******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***** THESE MODELS ARE THE SAME APPEARING IN TABLE SI-3 -- EXCEPT STANDARD ERRORS ARE CLUSTER-ADJUSTED BY INDIVIDUAL EX-GOVERNOR *******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    57) ={res}    4.76
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3274
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.481

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.745882{col 46}{space 2} 1.858664{col 57}{space 1}    3.63{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 3.023971{col 87}{space 3} 10.46779
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0826239{col 46}{space 2} .0763026{col 57}{space 1}    1.08{col 66}{space 3}0.283{col 74}{space 4}-.0701694{col 87}{space 3} .2354172
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.071917{col 46}{space 2} .0343478{col 57}{space 1}   -2.09{col 66}{space 3}0.041{col 74}{space 4}-.1406973{col 87}{space 3}-.0031367
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3774384{col 46}{space 2} .3454497{col 57}{space 1}    1.09{col 66}{space 3}0.279{col 74}{space 4}-.3143126{col 87}{space 3} 1.069189
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3441417{col 46}{space 2}   .84172{col 57}{space 1}   -0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.684{col 74}{space 4}-2.029657{col 87}{space 3} 1.341373
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.17823{col 46}{space 2} 3.848081{col 57}{space 1}   -4.20{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.88388{col 87}{space 3}-8.472584
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.634508{col 46}{space 2} 4.834938{col 57}{space 1}    1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.249{col 74}{space 4}-4.047288{col 87}{space 3}  15.3163
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.706979{col 46}{space 2} 7.883967{col 57}{space 1}   -1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.223{col 74}{space 4}-25.49435{col 87}{space 3} 6.080393
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8203017{col 46}{space 2}  2.74806{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.766{col 74}{space 4}-6.323198{col 87}{space 3} 4.682594
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.193305{col 46}{space 2} 3.697039{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.748{col 74}{space 4}-8.596497{col 87}{space 3} 6.209887
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0475691{col 46}{space 2} .1827025{col 57}{space 1}    0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.796{col 74}{space 4}-.3182865{col 87}{space 3} .4134246
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1459056{col 46}{space 2} .2093616{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-.2733338{col 87}{space 3}  .565145
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.96973{col 46}{space 2} 19.22116{col 57}{space 1}    1.61{col 66}{space 3}0.113{col 74}{space 4}-7.519977{col 87}{space 3} 69.45944
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1a < 1,vce(cluster govidentifier) 

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}      93
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    47) ={res}   20.64
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.6078
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 11.299

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:48} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.446016{col 46}{space 2} .9321055{col 57}{space 1}    7.99{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 5.570862{col 87}{space 3}  9.32117
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1595761{col 46}{space 2} .0294606{col 57}{space 1}    5.42{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .100309{col 87}{space 3} .2188432
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0955605{col 46}{space 2} .0197332{col 57}{space 1}   -4.84{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1352586{col 87}{space 3}-.0558623
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1121447{col 46}{space 2} .1710728{col 57}{space 1}    0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.515{col 74}{space 4}-.2320093{col 87}{space 3} .4562987
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3390217{col 46}{space 2} .5846543{col 57}{space 1}    0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.565{col 74}{space 4}-.8371511{col 87}{space 3} 1.515195
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -19.7187{col 46}{space 2} 2.691684{col 57}{space 1}   -7.33{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.13366{col 87}{space 3}-14.30373
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.836495{col 46}{space 2} 3.291741{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.801{col 74}{space 4}-7.458623{col 87}{space 3} 5.785633
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.130838{col 46}{space 2}  7.11246{col 57}{space 1}   -0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.874{col 74}{space 4}-15.43926{col 87}{space 3} 13.17759
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.832655{col 46}{space 2} 2.859662{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.525{col 74}{space 4}-7.585552{col 87}{space 3} 3.920242
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.216732{col 46}{space 2} 2.748171{col 57}{space 1}   -2.63{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4}-12.74534{col 87}{space 3}-1.688125
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2922713{col 46}{space 2} .1220751{col 57}{space 1}   -2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.021{col 74}{space 4}-.5378547{col 87}{space 3} -.046688
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3244612{col 46}{space 2} .1342712{col 57}{space 1}    2.42{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4} .0543424{col 87}{space 3} .5945801
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   56.276{col 46}{space 2} 10.81138{col 57}{space 1}    5.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 34.52629{col 87}{space 3}  78.0257
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    57) ={res}    4.84
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3701
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.154

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.599657{col 46}{space 2} 1.822442{col 57}{space 1}    3.62{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 2.950281{col 87}{space 3} 10.24903
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1326875{col 46}{space 2}  .055511{col 57}{space 1}    2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4} .0215286{col 87}{space 3} .2438464
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0999526{col 46}{space 2}  .027699{col 57}{space 1}   -3.61{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-.1554188{col 87}{space 3}-.0444864
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1242649{col 46}{space 2} .3860618{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.749{col 74}{space 4}-.6488106{col 87}{space 3} .8973404
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1268059{col 46}{space 2}  1.00331{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.900{col 74}{space 4}-2.135899{col 87}{space 3} 1.882287
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.03474{col 46}{space 2}  3.90175{col 57}{space 1}   -4.11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.84786{col 87}{space 3}-8.221624
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.848155{col 46}{space 2} 4.523757{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.201{col 74}{space 4}-3.210512{col 87}{space 3} 14.90682
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.694457{col 46}{space 2}  6.99692{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.419{col 74}{space 4}-19.70555{col 87}{space 3} 8.316635
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.143682{col 46}{space 2} 2.372673{col 57}{space 1}   -0.90{col 66}{space 3}0.370{col 74}{space 4}-6.894878{col 87}{space 3} 2.607514
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3522004{col 46}{space 2} 3.908882{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.929{col 74}{space 4}-8.179602{col 87}{space 3} 7.475202
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0049128{col 46}{space 2} .1313624{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.970{col 74}{space 4}-.2679614{col 87}{space 3} .2581359
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0522188{col 46}{space 2} .2151201{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.809{col 74}{space 4}-.3785518{col 87}{space 3} .4829894
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 120.1799{col 46}{space 2} 79.76196{col 57}{space 1}    1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.137{col 74}{space 4}-39.54068{col 87}{space 3} 279.9005
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-41.60686{col 46}{space 2} 27.59455{col 57}{space 1}   -1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.137{col 74}{space 4}  -96.864{col 87}{space 3} 13.65028
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.330997{col 46}{space 2} 2.991473{col 57}{space 1}    1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.153{col 74}{space 4}-1.659325{col 87}{space 3} 10.32132
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-59.38395{col 46}{space 2} 63.08196{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.350{col 74}{space 4}-185.7034{col 87}{space 3} 66.93549
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1c < 1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     109
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    55) ={res}    6.60
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4053
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 15.788

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:56} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.867659{col 46}{space 2}  1.40885{col 57}{space 1}    4.16{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  3.04426{col 87}{space 3} 8.691057
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1570861{col 46}{space 2}  .047428{col 57}{space 1}    3.31{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} .0620383{col 87}{space 3} .2521338
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1059258{col 46}{space 2} .0244416{col 57}{space 1}   -4.33{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1549078{col 87}{space 3}-.0569437
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.276944{col 46}{space 2} .3298299{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.405{col 74}{space 4}-.9379379{col 87}{space 3}   .38405
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.041994{col 46}{space 2} .8619686{col 57}{space 1}    1.21{col 66}{space 3}0.232{col 74}{space 4}-.6854297{col 87}{space 3} 2.769418
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.49479{col 46}{space 2} 3.655138{col 57}{space 1}   -3.69{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-20.81985{col 87}{space 3}-6.169728
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.710277{col 46}{space 2} 4.488251{col 57}{space 1}    1.50{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-2.284379{col 87}{space 3} 15.70493
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -3.9463{col 46}{space 2} 7.113483{col 57}{space 1}   -0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.581{col 74}{space 4}-18.20204{col 87}{space 3} 10.30944
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.992803{col 46}{space 2} 2.569049{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.249{col 74}{space 4}-8.141293{col 87}{space 3} 2.155687
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.131249{col 46}{space 2} 3.591963{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.387{col 74}{space 4} -10.3297{col 87}{space 3} 4.067206
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0400838{col 46}{space 2} .1235022{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.747{col 74}{space 4}-.2875878{col 87}{space 3} .2074202
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0540473{col 46}{space 2}  .194289{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.782{col 74}{space 4}-.3353165{col 87}{space 3}  .443411
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 131.0458{col 46}{space 2} 74.48825{col 57}{space 1}    1.76{col 66}{space 3}0.084{col 74}{space 4}-18.23196{col 87}{space 3} 280.3236
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.68255{col 46}{space 2} 25.89685{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.105{col 74}{space 4}  -94.581{col 87}{space 3} 9.215902
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.206872{col 46}{space 2} 2.825391{col 57}{space 1}    1.49{col 66}{space 3}0.142{col 74}{space 4}-1.455338{col 87}{space 3} 9.869082
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-55.20684{col 46}{space 2} 58.72361{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.351{col 74}{space 4}-172.8916{col 87}{space 3}  62.4779
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13E: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    57) ={res}    3.93
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0002
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3008
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.843

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.378411{col 46}{space 2} 1.759815{col 57}{space 1}    1.35{col 66}{space 3}0.182{col 74}{space 4}-1.145558{col 87}{space 3}  5.90238
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355648{col 46}{space 2} .0805188{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.660{col 74}{space 4}-.1968009{col 87}{space 3} .1256714
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0020187{col 46}{space 2} .0238786{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.933{col 74}{space 4}-.0457974{col 87}{space 3} .0498348
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .343387{col 46}{space 2} .3622622{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.347{col 74}{space 4}-.3820307{col 87}{space 3} 1.068805
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4049186{col 46}{space 2}  .853776{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.637{col 74}{space 4}-2.114576{col 87}{space 3} 1.304738
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.70687{col 46}{space 2} 3.889523{col 57}{space 1}   -4.30{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -24.4955{col 87}{space 3}-8.918231
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.220861{col 46}{space 2} 4.775424{col 57}{space 1}    1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.136{col 74}{space 4}-2.341761{col 87}{space 3} 16.78348
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.78594{col 46}{space 2} 7.624615{col 57}{space 1}   -2.20{col 66}{space 3}0.032{col 74}{space 4}-32.05397{col 87}{space 3}-1.517913
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5322859{col 46}{space 2} 2.636325{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.841{col 74}{space 4}-4.746864{col 87}{space 3} 5.811436
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5766186{col 46}{space 2} 3.823812{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.881{col 74}{space 4}-8.233669{col 87}{space 3} 7.080432
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1138003{col 46}{space 2}  .176771{col 57}{space 1}    0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.522{col 74}{space 4}-.2401776{col 87}{space 3} .4677782
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2082296{col 46}{space 2} .2359131{col 57}{space 1}    0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.381{col 74}{space 4}-.2641783{col 87}{space 3} .6806374
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.77401{col 46}{space 2} 20.58075{col 57}{space 1}    1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4}-1.438227{col 87}{space 3} 80.98625
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13F: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2a < 1,  vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}      98
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    52) ={res}    4.56
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3657
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.523

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:53} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.575312{col 46}{space 2} 1.223027{col 57}{space 1}    2.92{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4} 1.121129{col 87}{space 3} 6.029496
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0455659{col 46}{space 2} .0616918{col 57}{space 1}    0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.463{col 74}{space 4}-.0782277{col 87}{space 3} .1693595
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0265518{col 46}{space 2} .0184564{col 57}{space 1}   -1.44{col 66}{space 3}0.156{col 74}{space 4}-.0635873{col 87}{space 3} .0104838
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1409477{col 46}{space 2} .2359983{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.553{col 74}{space 4} -.614513{col 87}{space 3} .3326176
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6897264{col 46}{space 2} .5033994{col 57}{space 1}    1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.177{col 74}{space 4}-.3204184{col 87}{space 3} 1.699871
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.93371{col 46}{space 2} 2.946665{col 57}{space 1}   -4.73{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.84663{col 87}{space 3}-8.020798
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.696508{col 46}{space 2} 3.345756{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.614{col 74}{space 4}-5.017243{col 87}{space 3} 8.410258
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.602448{col 46}{space 2} 7.305493{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.244{col 74}{space 4}-23.26199{col 87}{space 3} 6.057096
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0325292{col 46}{space 2} 2.828754{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.991{col 74}{space 4}-5.643781{col 87}{space 3} 5.708839
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.221202{col 46}{space 2} 2.677943{col 57}{space 1}   -1.20{col 66}{space 3}0.234{col 74}{space 4}-8.594888{col 87}{space 3} 2.152483
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0476941{col 46}{space 2} .1515191{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.754{col 74}{space 4}-.3517393{col 87}{space 3} .2563512
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2853945{col 46}{space 2} .1762397{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.111{col 74}{space 4}-.0682563{col 87}{space 3} .6390454
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 67.29446{col 46}{space 2} 13.87936{col 57}{space 1}    4.85{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 39.44349{col 87}{space 3} 95.14542
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13G: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    57) ={res}    3.82
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3233
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.816

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.694555{col 46}{space 2} 1.810315{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-1.930538{col 87}{space 3} 5.319648
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0407485{col 46}{space 2} .0769316{col 57}{space 1}   -0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.598{col 74}{space 4}-.1948014{col 87}{space 3} .1133044
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.25e-06{col 46}{space 2} .0257903{col 57}{space 1}    0.00{col 66}{space 3}1.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0516398{col 87}{space 3} .0516484
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2799022{col 46}{space 2} .3931315{col 57}{space 1}    0.71{col 66}{space 3}0.479{col 74}{space 4}-.5073302{col 87}{space 3} 1.067134
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3782174{col 46}{space 2} .9798926{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.701{col 74}{space 4}-2.340418{col 87}{space 3} 1.583984
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.58375{col 46}{space 2} 3.959398{col 57}{space 1}   -4.19{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.51231{col 87}{space 3}-8.655192
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.610103{col 46}{space 2} 4.690232{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.110{col 74}{space 4}-1.781925{col 87}{space 3} 17.00213
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.33364{col 46}{space 2} 7.532851{col 57}{space 1}   -1.90{col 66}{space 3}0.062{col 74}{space 4}-29.41792{col 87}{space 3} .7506327
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2542182{col 46}{space 2} 2.416162{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.917{col 74}{space 4}-5.092499{col 87}{space 3} 4.584062
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3512288{col 46}{space 2} 3.967326{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.930{col 74}{space 4}-7.593204{col 87}{space 3} 8.295661
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1156594{col 46}{space 2} .1549603{col 57}{space 1}    0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.459{col 74}{space 4}-.1946432{col 87}{space 3}  .425962
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1238299{col 46}{space 2} .2488758{col 57}{space 1}    0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.621{col 74}{space 4}-.3745353{col 87}{space 3} .6221952
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 17.65228{col 46}{space 2} 88.41175{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.842{col 74}{space 4}-159.3892{col 87}{space 3} 194.6937
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.922327{col 46}{space 2} 30.33824{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.795{col 74}{space 4} -68.6736{col 87}{space 3} 52.82895
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8733246{col 46}{space 2} 3.274217{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.791{col 74}{space 4}-5.683181{col 87}{space 3} 7.429831
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.05486{col 46}{space 2} 72.55057{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.612{col 74}{space 4}-108.2251{col 87}{space 3} 182.3349
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13H: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2c < 1,vce(cluster govidentifier)  

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     108
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    55) ={res}    3.44
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0004
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3292
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 16.414

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:56} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.768296{col 46}{space 2} 1.659119{col 57}{space 1}    1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.291{col 74}{space 4}-1.556654{col 87}{space 3} 5.093245
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0014788{col 46}{space 2} .0705864{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.983{col 74}{space 4}-.1399795{col 87}{space 3} .1429371
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0101898{col 46}{space 2} .0233538{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.664{col 74}{space 4}-.0569918{col 87}{space 3} .0366122
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1815254{col 46}{space 2} .3493604{col 57}{space 1}   -0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.605{col 74}{space 4}-.8816591{col 87}{space 3} .5186084
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9038232{col 46}{space 2} .8904128{col 57}{space 1}    1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.315{col 74}{space 4}-.8806041{col 87}{space 3}  2.68825
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -13.0702{col 46}{space 2} 3.753447{col 57}{space 1}   -3.48{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-20.59228{col 87}{space 3}-5.548129
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.849856{col 46}{space 2} 4.590633{col 57}{space 1}    1.71{col 66}{space 3}0.093{col 74}{space 4}-1.349978{col 87}{space 3} 17.04969
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -10.6528{col 46}{space 2} 7.860833{col 57}{space 1}   -1.36{col 66}{space 3}0.181{col 74}{space 4}-26.40627{col 87}{space 3} 5.100659
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.222292{col 46}{space 2} 2.755727{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.659{col 74}{space 4}-6.744893{col 87}{space 3} 4.300309
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.758067{col 46}{space 2} 3.694118{col 57}{space 1}   -0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.636{col 74}{space 4}-9.161246{col 87}{space 3} 5.645111
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0750261{col 46}{space 2} .1462201{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.610{col 74}{space 4}-.2180055{col 87}{space 3} .3680577
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1198279{col 46}{space 2} .2264664{col 57}{space 1}    0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.599{col 74}{space 4} -.334021{col 87}{space 3} .5736768
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.83736{col 46}{space 2} 81.53776{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.707{col 74}{space 4} -132.568{col 87}{space 3} 194.2427
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -9.79986{col 46}{space 2} 28.12491{col 57}{space 1}   -0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.729{col 74}{space 4}-66.16343{col 87}{space 3} 46.56371
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8394615{col 46}{space 2} 3.058511{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-5.289931{col 87}{space 3} 6.968854
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.43686{col 46}{space 2} 66.72321{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.557{col 74}{space 4}-94.27945{col 87}{space 3} 173.1532
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
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. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13I: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    57) ={res}    3.89
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0002
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3086
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.738

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  3.33706{col 46}{space 2} 1.466603{col 57}{space 1}    2.28{col 66}{space 3}0.027{col 74}{space 4} .4002374{col 87}{space 3} 6.273882
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0169931{col 46}{space 2} .0513514{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.742{col 74}{space 4}-.0858362{col 87}{space 3} .1198224
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0306458{col 46}{space 2} .0165796{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-.0638458{col 87}{space 3} .0025542
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3859356{col 46}{space 2} .3574343{col 57}{space 1}    1.08{col 66}{space 3}0.285{col 74}{space 4}-.3298142{col 87}{space 3} 1.101685
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.102152{col 46}{space 2} 1.029371{col 57}{space 1}   -1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.289{col 74}{space 4}-3.163431{col 87}{space 3} .9591272
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.14189{col 46}{space 2} 4.079832{col 57}{space 1}   -4.20{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.31161{col 87}{space 3}-8.972163
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.696442{col 46}{space 2} 4.973419{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.127{col 74}{space 4}-2.262657{col 87}{space 3} 17.65554
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.46409{col 46}{space 2} 7.487878{col 57}{space 1}   -1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4} -29.4583{col 87}{space 3}  .530132
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1583798{col 46}{space 2} 2.604686{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.952{col 74}{space 4}-5.374173{col 87}{space 3} 5.057413
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.429641{col 46}{space 2} 3.889329{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.912{col 74}{space 4}-8.217888{col 87}{space 3} 7.358607
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1148505{col 46}{space 2} .1812614{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.529{col 74}{space 4}-.2481192{col 87}{space 3} .4778201
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1733395{col 46}{space 2} .2252196{col 57}{space 1}    0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.445{col 74}{space 4} -.277655{col 87}{space 3} .6243339
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 36.83757{col 46}{space 2} 20.06457{col 57}{space 1}    1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.072{col 74}{space 4}-3.341048{col 87}{space 3} 77.01618
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13J: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3a < 1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}      98
                                                       {txt}F( 12,    51) ={res}    7.00
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4520
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.129

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:52} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.920235{col 46}{space 2} .8728397{col 57}{space 1}    4.49{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 2.167936{col 87}{space 3} 5.672534
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0503569{col 46}{space 2} .0326164{col 57}{space 1}    1.54{col 66}{space 3}0.129{col 74}{space 4}-.0151232{col 87}{space 3} .1158371
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355253{col 46}{space 2} .0114019{col 57}{space 1}   -3.12{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-.0584155{col 87}{space 3} -.012635
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0326492{col 46}{space 2} .2095358{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.877{col 74}{space 4}-.3880115{col 87}{space 3} .4533099
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3268949{col 46}{space 2} .7308161{col 57}{space 1}   -0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.657{col 74}{space 4}-1.794069{col 87}{space 3}  1.14028
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.12738{col 46}{space 2} 2.945541{col 57}{space 1}   -5.14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -21.0408{col 87}{space 3}-9.213963
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.236331{col 46}{space 2} 3.644079{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.542{col 74}{space 4}-5.079462{col 87}{space 3} 9.552124
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.922927{col 46}{space 2}  5.36893{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4} -20.7015{col 87}{space 3}  .855649
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.249339{col 46}{space 2} 2.305109{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.590{col 74}{space 4}-5.877038{col 87}{space 3}  3.37836
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.566414{col 46}{space 2} 3.027489{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.072{col 74}{space 4}-11.64435{col 87}{space 3}  .511523
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0689587{col 46}{space 2} .1221348{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.575{col 74}{space 4}-.3141546{col 87}{space 3} .1762372
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3902487{col 46}{space 2} .1631206{col 57}{space 1}    2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4} .0627704{col 87}{space 3} .7177269
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.80072{col 46}{space 2} 12.09356{col 57}{space 1}    5.11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 37.52187{col 87}{space 3} 86.07956
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13K: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     115
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    57) ={res}    3.82
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3387
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.601

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:58} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.75354{col 46}{space 2} 1.423952{col 57}{space 1}    1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4}-.0978757{col 87}{space 3} 5.604955
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .017912{col 46}{space 2} .0489885{col 57}{space 1}    0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.716{col 74}{space 4}-.0801859{col 87}{space 3} .1160098
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0316605{col 46}{space 2} .0171536{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-.0660099{col 87}{space 3} .0026889
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2460072{col 46}{space 2} .3725379{col 57}{space 1}    0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.512{col 74}{space 4} -.499987{col 87}{space 3} .9920014
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8339611{col 46}{space 2} 1.108528{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.455{col 74}{space 4} -3.05375{col 87}{space 3} 1.385827
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.87668{col 46}{space 2} 4.146116{col 57}{space 1}   -4.07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.17914{col 87}{space 3}-8.574232
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.943853{col 46}{space 2}  4.58754{col 57}{space 1}    1.73{col 66}{space 3}0.089{col 74}{space 4}-1.242538{col 87}{space 3} 17.13024
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -12.7491{col 46}{space 2}  6.79216{col 57}{space 1}   -1.88{col 66}{space 3}0.066{col 74}{space 4}-26.35017{col 87}{space 3} .8519654
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7253636{col 46}{space 2} 2.317799{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.755{col 74}{space 4}-5.366677{col 87}{space 3} 3.915949
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5386473{col 46}{space 2} 3.982214{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.893{col 74}{space 4}-7.435599{col 87}{space 3} 8.512894
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0944822{col 46}{space 2} .1514904{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.535{col 74}{space 4}-.2088721{col 87}{space 3} .3978365
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0945327{col 46}{space 2} .2317087{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.685{col 74}{space 4} -.369456{col 87}{space 3} .5585214
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 75.93084{col 46}{space 2} 80.83153{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4} -85.9315{col 87}{space 3} 237.7932
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.31781{col 46}{space 2} 27.87282{col 57}{space 1}   -0.98{col 66}{space 3}0.331{col 74}{space 4}-83.13216{col 87}{space 3} 28.49654
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.905172{col 46}{space 2} 3.000837{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.337{col 74}{space 4}-3.103902{col 87}{space 3} 8.914245
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.21158{col 46}{space 2} 66.10162{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.796{col 74}{space 4}-149.5778{col 87}{space 3} 115.1546
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-13L: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3c < 1, vce(cluster govidentifier)

{txt}Linear regression                                      Number of obs ={res}     103
                                                       {txt}F( 15,    55) ={res}    5.40
                                                       {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
                                                       {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4093
                                                       {txt}Root MSE      = {res}  14.59

{txt}{ralign 98:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:56} clusters in govidentifier)}
{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 34}{c |}{col 46}    Robust
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.380552{col 46}{space 2} 1.040916{col 57}{space 1}    4.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 2.294509{col 87}{space 3} 6.466594
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .068157{col 46}{space 2} .0331918{col 57}{space 1}    2.05{col 66}{space 3}0.045{col 74}{space 4} .0016391{col 87}{space 3} .1346749
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.042307{col 46}{space 2} .0132435{col 57}{space 1}   -3.19{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-.0688476{col 87}{space 3}-.0157665
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0696941{col 46}{space 2} .2687534{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.796{col 74}{space 4} -.608288{col 87}{space 3} .4688997
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6749963{col 46}{space 2} .8368596{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.423{col 74}{space 4}  -2.3521{col 87}{space 3} 1.002108
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.15476{col 46}{space 2} 3.522298{col 57}{space 1}   -3.45{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} -19.2136{col 87}{space 3}-5.095916
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.222507{col 46}{space 2} 3.780549{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.105{col 74}{space 4}-1.353881{col 87}{space 3}  13.7989
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.89294{col 46}{space 2} 5.622225{col 57}{space 1}   -1.94{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4}-22.16013{col 87}{space 3} .3742547
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6739463{col 46}{space 2} 2.095339{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.749{col 74}{space 4}-4.873099{col 87}{space 3} 3.525206
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9735646{col 46}{space 2} 3.331465{col 57}{space 1}   -0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.771{col 74}{space 4} -7.64997{col 87}{space 3} 5.702841
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0501858{col 46}{space 2} .1312633{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.704{col 74}{space 4}-.2128716{col 87}{space 3} .3132432
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2002673{col 46}{space 2} .1835256{col 57}{space 1}    1.09{col 66}{space 3}0.280{col 74}{space 4}-.1675262{col 87}{space 3} .5680608
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 112.5588{col 46}{space 2} 65.44094{col 57}{space 1}    1.72{col 66}{space 3}0.091{col 74}{space 4}-18.58776{col 87}{space 3} 243.7054
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -38.4312{col 46}{space 2} 22.47674{col 57}{space 1}   -1.71{col 66}{space 3}0.093{col 74}{space 4}-83.47559{col 87}{space 3} 6.613191
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.976743{col 46}{space 2} 2.413571{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.105{col 74}{space 4}-.8601619{col 87}{space 3} 8.813648
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.71664{col 46}{space 2} 54.54516{col 57}{space 1}   -0.78{col 66}{space 3}0.437{col 74}{space 4}-152.0276{col 87}{space 3}  66.5943
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
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      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\Supplementary Statistical Analysis.JOP Referees Suggestions.01-09-2014.FINAL.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 9 Jan 2014, 15:03:56
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}